Heat Dome Likely To Help Protect Southeastern US From Beryl

Sign up for the Morning Brief email newsletter to get weekday updates from The Weather Channel and our meteorologists.

All eyes are going to be on Beryl over the next week as it cruises through the Caribbean, but this system is unlikely to be a threat to the Southeast due to heat building over the region.

(MORE: The Latest Forecast For Beryl)

Clash of heat dome versus hurricane? A “big bubble of no trouble” is forecast to set up shop across the South as we near Independence Day. This high pressure dome will act as a deflector shield against Beryl once it moves into the Caribbean.

Its clockwise flow will guide Beryl westward or west-northwestward through the Caribbean over the next week. This trajectory should keep Beryl to the south of Florida, but what happens after that is uncertain.

A​ few (out of dozens) computer model ensemble members continue to show Beryl approaching the southern Gulf of Mexico, but this is the exception rather than the expectation. Regardless, everyone along the Gulf Coast should continue to watch the progress in the tropics.

(​MORE: How To Read Spaghetti Models Like A Pro)

There remain some large questions over the long-term future of Beryl, including:

• How long does Beryl remain a threat and does shear wipe it out after July 4th?
• At what point does the high pressure system break down and what will replace it?
• If Beryl remains a threat, could it travel far enough north to threaten Texas?

These questions will take several days to figure out as the natural course of time rolls on.

Heat dome will likely bake the south. Of course, this protection shield isn’t all good news.

Temperatures along the Southeast coast are expected to be 5-15 degrees above average for early July. This means temperatures well into the 90s and near 100 degrees.

And if you’re looking for rainfall, you might be hard-pressed to find it in the Southeast with generally sinking air expected. It likely won’t be completely dry, but summertime pop up thunderstorms will have a more difficult time developing.

NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center is already warning that a

C​heck back with us at weather.com for updates to this forecast as the details become clearer in the days ahead.

M​ORE ON WEATHER.COM

-​ Why Hurricane Season's More Active Phase May Arrive Earlier

-​ How To Prepare For Hurricane Season

-​ What's Been Deadliest In US Hurricanes, Tropical Storms Lately May Surprise You