Germany vs. Hungary prediction, odds, betting tips and best bets for Euro 2024 group match

Germany vs. Hungary prediction, odds, betting tips and best bets for Euro 2024 group match

After a resounding start to their Euro 2024 journey, hosts Germany now look to springboard their way into the knockout stage with a game against Hungary in Stuttgart on Wednesday.

Some were skeptical about Germany's viability to contend for a title in this competition on home soil, given their struggles at the most recent World Cup, but they exploded to life in the tournament's first match in a 5-1 statement victory over Scotland.

The Germans rode a wave of young talent as Jamal Musiala and Florian Wirtz cannoned their side to victory amidst the benefit of playing a man up for the entire second half. Yet the match was well and truly decided prior to Ryan Porteous's dismissal, with the aforementioned pair each scoring in the opening 20 minutes.

Hungary, meanwhile, were well beaten in their start to Euro 2024, topped 3-1 by Switzerland to put their Round of 16 chances on life support. They enjoyed a slight turnaround in the second half to come within a goal on the hour mark, but finding themselves unable to come all the way back to secure points. Now suddenly a match against one of Europe's top sides becomes a game where points may be required to keep hold of hope for knockout stage qualification.

Germany vs. Hungary prediction, odds

• Moneyline lean: Germany (-375)
• Score prediction: Germany 2-1 Hungary

Germany were in complete control of their opening match, but the final scoreline surely betrays them slightly and will be nearly impossible to replicate again regardless of opposition quality. They'll find this game much more difficult, as Hungary have the ability to frustrate quality sides, such as in a 2-1 qualifying win over tenacious Serbia on the road, a 1-0 friendly win over Turkey back in March, or a quality 3-0 win over Israel.

Still, they have not played an opponent of Germany's quality since they followed up a resounding pair of wins over England and Germany in 2022 Nations League play with a 2-0 defeat to Italy that September. It will be a lot to ask of them to provide an upset here over a suddenly in-form Euro 2024 host.

Germany vs. Hungary match facts

• Date: Wednesday, Jun. 19, 2024
• Kickoff time: 6 p.m. local (12 p.m. ET / 9 a.m. PT)
• Location: MPHArena (Stuttgart, Germany)
• Referee: Danny Makkelie (NED)
• Last meeting: Germany 0-1 Hungary (Sep. 23, 2022 | UEFA Nations League)

Germany vs. Hungary best bet

• Pick: Both teams to score — Yes
• Odds: +105 (BetMGM)

Germany have not done well to keep clean sheets in recent years, preferring to overwhelm their opponents instead. They even conceded a comical own-goal at the end of their resounding win over 10-man Scotland just days ago, leaving them with just two wins to nil and three total shutouts in 16 post-2022 World Cup games.

Hungary scored a goal in both games against Germany in 2022 Nations League play, even out-shooting Germany in their 1-1 draw before bagging an impressive 1-0 victory months later on the road in Leipzig. Since the ensuing 1-0 defeat to Italy, Hungary have been shut out just once across 17 matches, a scoreless draw with Montenegro. While their quality of opponent doesn't compare, it's still meaningful that they can find the net with regularity.

Dominik Szoboszlai was a bright spot in the defeat to Switzerland, and Hungary managed to piece together a goal on 1.25 xG despite only six shots, as efficiency over volume is their calling card. Germany will find a way to concede here, and there's value in the plus odds.

Germany vs. Hungary prop bet

• Pick: Kai Havertz to score or assist
• Odds: -135 (BetMGM)

Ridiculed for his repeated foozling in front of goal not long in the past, Kai Havertz has suddenly blossomed into a key contributor up front for both club and country. The 25-year-old Arsenal forward can play a versatile role in the team's attack, and may even be the side's first-choice penalty taker after being handed the lone chance from the spot in the opening win over Scotland, a somewhat surprising turn of events.

Alongside his spot-kick, Havertz also managed to put a free-kick on frame that was only turned away by an excellent save from Angus Gunn, while also assisting Jamal Musiala's 19th minute goal prior to that.

Finally, Havertz did find the net against Hungary in Euro 2020, and had a big headed chance in the 1-1 draw these two teams played to two years ago. Given he has four national team assists to go along with his nine goals since bagging a brace against England in late 2022, we're taking the hit in value to lump in creativity, despite the enticing nature of +115 odds to score anytime.

Germany vs. Hungary live stream, TV channel

Cristiano Ronaldo's first Euro 2024 matchup will be televised in the United States on FS1, which can be found streaming on Fubo who are offering a free trial for new users. The match will also be found on Fox's in-house streaming platform Fox Sports GO, while a Spanish-language broadcast is available on streaming service ViX.

In Canada, this match will be televised on TSN1 and TSN4, plus a French broadcast can be accessed on TVA Sports. TVA+ is providing live stream coverage.

In the UK, Euro 2024 matches are split between ITV and the BBC. This match will be televised by BBC, with streaming on their dedicated platform BBC iPlayer.