Wall Street is going toward a straight free fall — no one knows what’s going to happen with the market

Business, donald trump, gdp, joe biden, wall street

Talk to enough Wall Street executives and you come away with something very unsettling: No one knows what’s going to happen with markets and, by extension, the economy — and it’s scary.

I know what you’re saying, these guys neve really know what’s going on or they would have seen the 2007-08 financial crisis months before it happened.

Truth be told, they did see it coming, but most were too terrified to say anything about it, while others, like hedge funders, didn’t want to draw attention to their market bets.

No, this time is different.

Market prognostications are all over the place because of huge policymaking mistakes: spending, money printing and more that screw with their normal analytical tools.

The politics and policies of two presidential candidates add even more confusion.

In other words, it’s not a great time to be an economic forecaster, or for that matter an investor or consumer or American worker trying to prepare for the future.

And we can thank the clowns who have been setting public policy, and ­doing some really crazy, unprecedented stuff.

Yes, the ruling class we have in this country is maybe the dumbest that history has had to offer.

Again, it’s a bipartisan idiocy, the Wall Street types will tell you, that dates back at least two decades, though the more recent vintage of so-called experts acting like idiots is even more troubling because the stakes keep getting higher.

Former (and maybe future) President Donald Trump looked steady and confident against a stammering, overmatched Joe Biden in Thursday’s debate.

But Trump’s no bargain either.

Consider, he endlessly vowed to build a southern border wall to prevent mass migration with its pressures on the welfare state, but because he spent much of his four years in office spinning his wheels on petty feuds, he never got it done.

Biden, meanwhile, has spent nearly four years as a barely sentient leader of the free world (as his debate performance showed again).

He compounded the immigration catastrophe because he’s afraid of alienating the open-border, progressive base of the Democratic Party while the nation’s social fabric frays under pressure from the importation of poverty and lots of crime.

But it’s both sides’ wonky stances on the economy that is really giving forecasters fits.

Trump added an estimated and staggering $8 trillion to the national debt during his four years in office, and you can’t blame it all on COVID-relief measures and the lockdowns that stalled growth in his last year in office.

Before that, he did some great things like cutting taxes and reducing regulations, and it propelled things like employment and wages.

It was a time of peace and prosperity, perfect for getting entitlements (i.e. future costs of Social Security and more) in order and taking a blowtorch to the boated mess of the federal government.

Yet he did just the opposite.

When COVID hit, he kept spending nearly until his last day in office when it was clear the economy was bouncing back and the pandemic was on its way to ending.

Trump offers more of the same if re-elected, which means a whole new level of uncertainty to consider given the size of the debt now on the books, which at some point we will have to pay back.

Biden’s spending binge

Speaking of debt, its size is getting bigger and more troubling because when it comes to spending, Sleepy Joe is Trump on steroids.

He promises to double down if re-elected: Student debt relief, more spending on useless green energy boondoggles, a blowout of a dubious industrial policy of EVs everywhere and government-subsidized chip manufacturing is just the start.

If he’s replaced (a real possibility after his debate performance), whoever steps in will offer the same policies without the verbal incoherence.

Recently, the media has been buzzing (no doubt after being prodded by Sleepy Joe’s handlers) that Trump has increased the debt more than Biden, but Wall Street pros tell me that’s a bit of an apples-to-oranges comparison since the economy largely stopped during Trump’s last year in office.

When Biden took over as the economy was on the mend, he went nuts with stimulus spending.

The pros point to an overlooked stat.

By early next year, the Congressional Budget Office is projecting that the growth of debt under Biden will likely match or exceed Trump’s.

It stands now at near-historic levels, 120% of the entire US Gross Domestic Product.

That’s down from its pandemic high, but not by much to really matter.

What happens if we need to spend more because of war?

What happens if our creditors decide the US dollar is too commoditized because of all the spending?

Biden has infused both our economy and culture with hypercharged wokeness through his appointees to the regulatory state.

Trump is looking for ­revenge against a political party that is literally trying to put him in jail.

Wall Street is now pulling its collective hair out trying to input those variables into its computer models, with lots of crazy stuff that has created the black-box economy where forecasting is nearly impossible.

That’s why smart money is so scared.

Charles Gasparino is the author of the forthcoming book “Go Woke, Go Broke: The Inside Story of the Radicalization of Corporate America.”

OTHER NEWS

15 minutes ago

Queen Mary and King Frederik X of Denmark smile and pose for selfies - as they receive gifts at village visit during Greenland trip

15 minutes ago

‘Wicked’ Shifts Earlier In November, Dates Against ‘Gladiator II’: Is Another ‘Barbenheimer’ Box Office Weekend In Store?

15 minutes ago

Timeline for easing Calgary’s water restrictions to be revealed Tuesday

15 minutes ago

TEA investigating allegations Fort Bend ISD incentivized students, staff to vote in 2023 election

15 minutes ago

KHOU 11 Chief Meteorologist David Paul on what to make of Hurricane Beryl

19 minutes ago

Cristiano Ronaldo breaks down in TEARS after his extra-time penalty was SAVED by Slovenia keeper Jan Oblak as his nightmare Euro 2024 campaign continues

19 minutes ago

Democrats’ best hope now, anti-semites excommunicated me and other commentary

20 minutes ago

UN group demands release of ex-Pakistan PM Imran Khan; says his detention violates international law

20 minutes ago

NHL reinstates Bowman, MacIsaac, Quenneville after ban for role in Blackhawks scandal

20 minutes ago

Sonay Kartal lives her proudest day after earning first Wimbledon win

20 minutes ago

Bride praised for replacing maid of honor after she refused to buy dress

20 minutes ago

Japan's Kamada moves to Palace on free transfer from Lazio

20 minutes ago

Cops probe whether bus veered into oncoming traffic moments before deadly Bruce Hwy collision

20 minutes ago

Famous Actress' $4 Million LA Home Recently Hit the Market and People Aren't Impressed

20 minutes ago

Ford Says Its Affordable EV Will Cost $30,0000 and Compete Directly With Tesla and BYD

20 minutes ago

Bank of America data shows today marks beginning of the S&P 500’s ‘strongest’ average 10-day period of the year…over 96 years

20 minutes ago

Bitcoin will have 'pretty sharp rebound' in the second half of the year, says Fundstrat's Tom Lee

20 minutes ago

Why are women retiring at 54? It’s not because we’re sick

20 minutes ago

Corporations need to make moral and economic decisions in ideological positioning, says Americus Reed

20 minutes ago

Grenada Is One of My Favorite Caribbean Islands — and It Just Got an Incredible New Resort

20 minutes ago

How Keir Starmer's past shows what he would be like as Prime Minister

20 minutes ago

Michelle Keegan's organising gurus share top handbag essentials for summer days out

24 minutes ago

Walgreens closing huge wave of major stores US - full list here

24 minutes ago

Of the 117 noise cancelling headphones we tested, these are the 5 best

24 minutes ago

Carrefour sees more upside from Cora and Match acquisition

24 minutes ago

Gladiator 2 first look sees Paul Mescal and Pedro Pascal lock swords, with an unrecognizable Joseph Quinn as a sadistic emperor

24 minutes ago

Giorgi Mamardashvili: Chelsea and Man Utd accelerate pursuit of Euro 2024 hero

24 minutes ago

California campaign wants to shut down incoming Nevada fireworks

24 minutes ago

Florida prosecutors knew Epstein raped teenage girls 2 years before cutting deal, transcript shows

24 minutes ago

NYC officials put gelato artisan’s $2.4M illegal rental scheme on ice: suit

24 minutes ago

Video: Do you have 'cousin face'? Woman left stunned by wild theory after bumping into 'familiar' face at party

29 minutes ago

Co-ops in Saskatchewan are still recovering from cybersecurity incident

32 minutes ago

Bill Simmons feels this is the right time to trade Draymond: "We're not gonna be good for one year, and we'll make it up to you"

32 minutes ago

Kerry GAA says stadium renovations in jeopardy after exclusion from 'Golden Visa' scheme

32 minutes ago

Turkey mediates between Somalia and Ethiopia to ease diplomatic tensions

32 minutes ago

A media 'nervous breakdown'? Calls for Biden's withdrawal produce some extraordinary moments

32 minutes ago

Wimbledon day one: Sabalenka pulls out as Raducanu, Alcaraz and Sinner all win

32 minutes ago

Tesla deliveries may disappoint...again

32 minutes ago

Goodbye Warriors, thanks for the memories. Klay Thompson's departure spells dynasty's end

32 minutes ago

NHL reinstates Stan Bowman, Al MacIsaac and Joel Quenneville after Blackhawks scandal