General election polls: Tories lead Reform as Labour still holds large lead

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Labour is holding its large lead over the Conservatives and Reform UK trail the Tories by several points, two opinion polls published in the past 24 hours both show.A poll by Savanta, carried out online from June 12-14 among 2,045 UK adults, puts Labour 25 points ahead of the Conservatives.

The figures are Labour 46%, Conservatives 21%, Reform 13%, Liberal Democrats 11%, Green Party 5%, SNP 2%, Plaid Cymru 1%, and other parties 2%.

A poll by Opinium, carried out online from June 12-14 among 2,059 UK adults, gives Labour a 19-point lead.

The figures are Labour 41%, Conservatives 22%, Reform 13%, Lib Dems 12%, Greens 7%, SNP 2%, Plaid Cymru 1%, and other parties 2%.

An average of all polls that were carried out wholly or partly during the seven days to June 17 puts Labour on 41%, 20 points ahead of the Conservatives on 21%, followed by Reform on 15%, the Lib Dems on 12% and the Greens on 6%.

The Lib Dems and Reform are up on the figures for the previous week, while Labour and the Tories are down, with the averages for the seven days to June 10 being Labour 43%, Conservatives 22%, Reform 14%, Lib Dems 10% and Greens 6%.

Despite the polls, Rishi Sunak has insisted the Tories can still win general election Cabinet minister Grant Shapps said a Conservative victory is unlikely.

The Prime Minister said he understands people's frustrations but gave a more optimistic assessment of his party's chances than the defence secretary, who said that to claim the Tories are on course for a win would be to "try and pretend black is white".

Mr Sunak's comments came as Nigel Farage launched Reform UK's "contract" with voters to add to the Conservatives' woes and a YouGov poll last week showed Reform a single point ahead of the Tories.On May 22, the day Rishi Sunak called the General Election, the seven-day averages stood at Labour 45%, Conservatives 23%, Reform 11%, Lib Dems 9% and Greens 6%.

The averages have been calculated by the PA news agency and are based on polls published by BMG, Deltapoll, Find Out Now, Focaldata, Ipsos, JL Partners, More in Common, Norstat, Opinium, People Polling, Redfield Wilton, Savanta, Survation, TechneUK, Verian, WeThink, Whitestone and YouGov.

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