ABP-CVoter Opinion Poll: BJP To Continue Its Dominance In Lok Sabha Polls In Bihar, But There's A Catch

In the upcoming Lok Sabha polls, Bihar remains a key state for the parties as the state with its 40 seats holds significance this election.

The BJP, which swept 39 seats in the state, is looking forward to repeating its successful innings in the state, while the Congress-RJD alliance will try to snatch away seats from the saffron party in the Lok Sabha polls.

The latest ABP News and CVoter opinion poll for Bihar has projected significant seat share for the National Democratic Alliance (NDA), particularly the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), in the upcoming elections.

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With a total of 40 Lok Sabha seats up for grabs, BJP is expected to win 18 seats while its allies including Nitish Kumar’s JD(U) and Chirag Paswan’s LJP are likely to get a total of 15 seats.

The opposition alliance is expected to get 7 seats in total, with the Congress getting one seat while the RJD and Left alliance getting a total of 6 seats, as per the ABP-CVoter survey.

In terms of voter percentage, the opposition alliance is expected to get 39.9 percent votes, while the BJP-led NDA is likely to get 50.8 percent votes.

Though the number is significant gain for the BJP, but the party in the last Lok Sabha Elections had swept all the seats in the state barring one.

In the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, the BJP-led NDA got 39 seats out of the total 40 in Bihar with the Congress getting just one seat. The RJD didn’t manage to bag even one seat. In Bihar, voting will occur in seven phases for the 40 Lok Sabha seats.

An earlier survey showed that Prime Minister Narendra Modi remained the popular choice of the people of Bihar for PM’s position with 69 percent, Rahul Gandhi lagged behind by a huge margin at 23 percent.

(Disclaimer: Current survey findings and projections are based on CVoter Opinion Poll CATI interviews (Computer Assisted Telephone Interviewing) conducted among 18+ adults statewide, all confirmed voters, details of which are mentioned right below the projections as of today. The data is weighted to the known demographic profile of the States. Sometimes the table figures do not sum to 100 due to the effects of rounding. Our final data file has Socio-Economic profile within +/- 1% of the Demographic profile of the State. We believe this will give the closest possible trends. The sample spread is across all Assembly segments in the poll bound state. MoE is +/- 3% at macro level and +/- 5% at micro level VOTE SHARE projection with 95% Confidence interval.)