New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Jun 11, 2024; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; New York Yankees center fielder Aaron Judge (99) rounds the bases after hitting a two-run home run in the seventh inning against the Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Peter Aiken-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Yankees (50-22) and Boston Red Sox (35-35) play the middle contest of a 3-game series Saturday at Fenway Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let's analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Yankees vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 1-0

The Yankees picked up an 8-1 victory as a moderate favorite (-147) Friday night as the total (9) pushed at most shops. RHP Luis Gil allowed 1 run in 5 innings in the win, while OF Alex Verdugo collected 3 hits, including his 8th HR, while driving in 4 runs against his former team.

The Red Sox took 2 of 3 games from the Philadelphia Phillies earlier in the week, but the loss kicks Boston back to .500. It is still just 5-6 in the past 11 games dating back to June 2, and the Over is 9-3-1 run in the previous 13 contests.

The Yankees have won 4 of the past 5 meetings since Sept. 12, with all 5 of those battles coming at Fenway Park. The Under is 3-1-1 in that 5-game stretch.

Yankees at Red Sox projected starters

LHP Carlos Rodon vs. RHP Cooper Criswell

Rodon (9-2, 2.93 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 80 innings.

• Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 4-2 road win vs. Kansas City Royals Monday
• 2024 road splits: 5-2, 3.33 ERA (48 2/3 IP, 18 ER), 1.19 WHIP, .237 opponents' batting average (OBA), 8 HR, 14 BB, 42 K in 9 starts

Criswell (3-3, 4.13 ERA) makes his 11th start and 12th appearance. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 48 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 4 R (3 ER), 5 H (1 HR), 1 BB, 2 K in 7-2 road loss vs. Chicago White Sox June 7
• 2024 home splits: 2-1, 3.24 ERA (25 IP, 9 ER), 1.12 WHIP, .221 OBA, 4 HR, 7 BB, 25 K in 5 starts and 1 relief appearance

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Yankees at Red Sox odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:55 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Yankees -172 (bet $172 to win $100) | Red Sox +144 (bet $100 to win $144)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (-113) | Red Sox +1.5 (-106)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: +100)

Yankees at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Red Sox 3

Moneyline

The YANKEES (-172) aren't a bad play straight up if you're a little on the conservative side. As a moderate favorite, New York isn't priced out of line.

The Bronx Bombers have won 4 of the past 5 games at Fenway Park, including the convincing 8-1 win in the series opener.

New York has won 13 of the past 16 games, including 9-1 in the past 10 outings on the road during that stretch since May 29.

Run line/Against the spread

The YANKEES -1.5 (-113) are worth a look on the run line if you're a little more adventurous. Obviously, do not bet the run line and the moneyline at the same time.

In New York's past 12 victories, it has won by at least 2 runs, so if you like the Yankees to win, you should like them to get the job done on the run line, too.

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Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (+100) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.

There is risk here, as the Over is actually 4-1 in the southpaw Rodon's past 5 starts, although the Under did cash in Kansas City in his most recent outing.

For the Red Sox, the Under is 2-2-1 in the past 5 games at home, but the total has gone high in 3 straight starts by Criswell. The lean is low, but go very, very lightly.

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This article originally appeared on USA Today Sportsbookwire: New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions