ohio-state-alabama
The Big Ten is now the Big Eighteen. Clemson and Florida State are trying to sue their way out of the ACC. If successful, others will follow.
But those potential moves and others that preceded it — the Red River Rivals to the SEC, the top third of the Pac-12 to the B1G — may just be tremors compared to the real earthquake to come.
The theory goes that when the upper echelon of college football leaves the NCAA, they won’t leave as intact conference as we know them today. Ohio State isn’t kicking Purdue out of the Big Ten (to choose two programs totally at random), they’re just simply not inviting them to the next iteration of college football. Or, Fox and ESPN aren’t inviting them.
Tony Altimore, a strategy consultant, attempted to rank every FBS program along roughly 50 factors that a television executive and/or university president would find important.
“It takes about 50 factors (broken down in the groups described in the summary), balances into points, and then weights them (based on input from experts) to create a broad-based look at overall attractiveness,” Altimore told me.
In short, Altimore found long-term football success and television viewership to be highly correlated (turns out TV executives might know what they’re doing.)
Setting aside the statistical mumbo jumbo, if every FBS program were put into a pot for ESPN and Fox to draft, who gets taken first and who gets taken last?
I found Altimore’s model to overrate California schools — there’s no way UCLA is getting taken before LSU, or Cal before Oregon — but at the very least it’s an interesting conversation driver. Or a panic-inducing one, depending on where your school falls.
1. Ohio State — 356
2. Michigan — 337.4
3. Alabama — 301.4
4. USC — 296.4
5. Texas — 282.2
6. Notre Dame — 279.7
7. Georgia — 269.9
8. Penn State — 263.1
9. Florida — 261.9
10. UCLA — 260.4
11. Oklahoma — 254.2
12. LSU — 243.5
13. Texas A&M — 242
14. Wisconsin — 241.9
15. Stanford — 225.7
16. Washington — 224.5
17. Michigan State — 223.9
18. Tennessee — 220.6
19. Florida State — 216.6
20. Clemson — 211.1
21. Iowa — 208.9
22. Cal — 202.8
23. Nebraska — 200.3
23. North Carolina — 200.3
25. Minnesota — 199.7
26. Miami — 198.3
27. Oregon — 197.1
28. Pitt — 181.9
29. Maryland — 180.6
30. Arkansas — 180.5
31. Auburn — 179.5
32. Utah — 178
33. Kentucky — 172.7
34. Illinois — 176.1
35. Arizona State — 172
35. TCU — 172
37. Oklahoma State — 171
38. Indiana — 166.5
39. Purdue — 165
40. Duke — 164
41. Colorado — 162
42. NC State — 159.7
43. Ole Miss — 159.5
44. Virginia — 158.4
45. Northwestern — 158
46. Virginia Tech — 157.9
47. Missouri — 157.6
48. Arizona — 156.6
49. Rutgers — 155.5
50. South Carolina — 153.1
51. West Virginia — 150.5
52. Georgia Tech — 150.1
53. Louisville — 144.2
54. Syracuse — 143.1
55. Iowa State — 137.1
56. Kansas — 137
57. Texas Tech — 136.2
58. Mississippi State — 130.5
59. Kansas State — 128.1
60. Boston College — 127.7
61. Army — 124.2
62. Houston — 123.5
63. Washington State — 123.2
64. Vanderbilt — 118.4
65. Baylor — 116.7
66. Cincinnati — 116.4
67. Navy — 116.2
68. Oregon State — 115.5
69. UCF — 114.4
70. Wake Forest — 113.9
71. BYU — 111.8
72. South Florida — 104.7
73. SMU — 102
74. UConn — 99.8
75. Temple — 93.8
76. San Diego State — 93.2
77. Boise State — 90.6
78. Memphis — 88.8
79. Tulane — 88.7
80. Air Force — 86.8
81. Colorado State — 83.6
82. Fresno State — 79.8
83. Buffalo — 73.5
84. Hawai’i — 72.7
85. Wyoming — 72.4
86. Tulsa — 72.2
87. UAB — 70.1
88. Rice — 70
89. Nevada — 69
90. Utah State — 67.2
91. Appalachian State — 64.6
92. UMass — 63.6
93. Toledo — 62.3
94. New Mexico — 62
95. Miami (Ohio) — 60
96. San Jose State — 58.9
97. James Madison — 57.7
98. Marshall — 56.2
99. East Carolina — 55.9
100. UNLV — 54.9
101. Ohio — 54.2
102. North Texas — 53.8
103. Florida Atlantic — 50.7
104. Western Kentucky — 49.8
105. Georgia State — 48.4
106. Troy — 46.5
107. Louisiana — 46.1
108. UTSA — 45.4
109. Louisiana Tech — 44.9
109. FIU — 44.9
111. Western Michigan — 44.5
112. Southern Miss — 44.3
113. Northern Illinois — 44.1
114. Coastal Carolina — 43.8
114. Georgia Southern — 43.8
116. Central Michigan — 42.1
117. UTEP — 41
118. Old Dominion — 40.9
119. Ball State — 39.7
120. Bowling Green — 38.7
121. Middle Tennessee — 38.6
122. Texas State — 38.1
123. Kent State — 37.7
124. New Mexico State — 37
125. Charlotte — 35.4
126. Arkansas State — 33.6
127. South Alabama — 32.8
128. Jacksonville State — 31.5
129. Eastern Michigan — 31.1
130. Liberty — 29.1
131. Akron — 24.9
132. Sam Houston — 19.1
133. ULM — 14
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