Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Mar 29, 2024; Denver, Colorado, USA; Denver Nuggets center Nikola Jokic (15) during the second half against the Minnesota Timberwolves at Ball Arena. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

The Minnesota Timberwolves (55-24) battle the Denver Nuggets (55-24) Wednesday with 1st place in the Western Conference on the line. Tip-off at Ball Arena is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Timberwolves vs. Nuggets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Timberwolves lead 2-1; Road team won each of the past 2 meetings, both in March, while Minnesota has covered all 3 meetings

The Timberwolves roughed up the Washington Wizards 130-121 in the Twin Cities on Tuesday night, but they didn’t come close to covering as an 18-point favorite as the Over (224) cashed. The T-wolves have won 4 of the past 5 games, and 8 of the past 10 contests outright, but they’re just 3-5 against the spread (ATS) in the past 8 games. The Over is 4-1 in the past 5 contests.

The defending World Champs are looking to hang onto the top overall seed in the Western Conference, entering this game tied for the top spot in the conference with the Timberwolves. Denver has won 4 of its past 5 games, while covering the last 2. The Nuggets haven’t covered in 3 in a row since a 4-0 ATS run from Feb. 22-28. Denver has cashed the Under in 5 of the past 7 games.

Timberwolves at Nuggets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:06 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Timberwolves +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Nuggets -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
• Against the spread: Timberwolves +5.5 (-105) | Nuggets -5.5 (-115)
• Over/Under (O/U): 212.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Timberwolves at Nuggets key injuries

Timberwolves

• C Karl-Anthony Towns (knee) out

Nuggets

• F Aaron Gordon (foot) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Timberwolves at Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 115, Timberwolves 107

Moneyline

The Nuggets (-225) will cost you more than 2 times your potential return, and that’s just a little risky for such a huge clash.

The Timberwolves (+180) have the unfortunate situation of playing at home, then flying from the Twin Cities to the Mile High City, working on no rest.

PASS.

Against the spread

The NUGGETS -5.5 (-115) are also playing on no rest, but they won 111-95 in Utah, and stayed on Mountain Time with a quick jump from Salt Lake City back to Denver, while sleeping in their own beds on Tuesday night.

The Timberwolves +1.5 (-105) are just 1-4 ATS in the past 5 games when working on no rest, including the most recent meeting at home against the Nuggets, falling 115-112 on March 19 as a 7.5-point favorite.

Over/Under

OVER 212.5 (-115) is the play, and it’s the Timberwolves driving that wager.

The total has gone high in 5 straight games when Minnesota is playing on no rest, and the Over is 10-2 in the second end of a back-to-back set this season.

For the Nuggets, the Over has cashed in 3 of the past 4 games when playing on no rest.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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This article originally appeared on USA Today Sportsbookwire: Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions