Southwest Monsoon to hit Kerala by May 31, IMD forecasts heatwave, rainfall across India

southwest monsoon to hit kerala by may 31, imd forecasts heatwave, rainfall across india

Southwest Monsoon to hit Kerala by May 31, IMD forecasts heatwave, rainfall across India

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has announced that the southwest monsoon is expected to arrive in Kerala by May 31, with a typical deviation of around seven days. The monsoon typically progresses northward, covering large parts of the country by July 15.

In its latest bulletin, the IMD has issued forecasts for various weather phenomena across the country. A fresh round of heatwave conditions is predicted over Northwest India from May 16 and in the eastern region from May 18. Concurrently, heavy rainfall, accompanied by thunderstorms, lightning, and gusty winds, is anticipated over south peninsular India until May 20.

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Monsoon Predictions

The Met Office predicts the advancement of monsoon into the South Andaman Sea, certain areas of the Southeast Bay of Bengal, and the Nicobar Islands by May 19.

This year, the onset of the southwest monsoon over Kerala is forecast for May 31, with a model error of four days on either side.

Rainfall Predictions

Isolated heavy rainfall is likely over Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, Karaikal, Kerala, Mahe, Coastal and South Interior Karnataka from May 16 to 19, with additional heavy rainfall expected in north interior Karnataka on May 16.

Tamil Nadu may experience isolated heavy rainfall on May 18 and 19, while Kerala is expected to see heavy rainfall on May 19.

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Scattered to fairly widespread light to moderate rainfall, accompanied by thunderstorm, lightning, and gusty winds, is anticipated over Sub-Himalayan West Bengal and Sikkim in the next seven days.

Isolated heavy rainfall is also predicted over Arunachal Pradesh from May 16 to 19 and over Assam and Meghalaya from May 17 to May 19, 2024.

Heatwave Predictions

Heatwave conditions are very likely in isolated pockets over West Rajasthan from May 16 to 19, extending to Punjab and South Haryana during the same period, and to North Madhya Pradesh, East Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh, and Bihar from May 17 to 19.

Also Read | Asia’s killer April heat wave was made much worse by climate change

Severe heatwave conditions are expected in isolated areas of West Rajasthan from May 17 to 19, in Punjab and South Haryana on May 18 and 19, and in the eastern parts of Rajasthan on May 19.

Isolated pockets of heatwave conditions are likely over the Gujarat Region from May 16 to May 17, over Konkan on May 16, over Saurashtra and Kutch on May 16 and May 17, and over Delhi, Jharkhand, Gangetic West Bengal, and Odisha on May 18 and May 19.

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