None of the rate panics have been a lasting hurdle for the S&P 500, says Ritholtz's Brown

Is the record setting rally now in serious jeopardy as rate cuts get pushed further and further out with some now wondering if we’ll get any at all? Let’s ask Josh Brown. He’s the Co founder and CEO of Ritholtz Wealth Management and a CNBC contributor. He’s with me, as you can see at post nine. It’s good to see you, Rick reader, BlackRock tweeting earlier. This was definitely a set back. That’s the word he used. Does it change your view on the market? Does it change the game for the Bulls? I’m not one of these. I told you so people, but I told you we were going to play this game. Cut off, cut on. Today is a decidedly cut off day. It’s exactly what you would expect to see. If you think that we’re set back from three down to two from June down to July, that’s exactly what’s playing out on your screen. This is what I would tell you. You got small caps being hurt the worst. Again, textbook for a cut off day. The IWM is down 3%. The S&P is down. One value underperforming growth. By the way, one of the only green stocks on my screen right now. NVIDIA, not a value stock, I don’t know if you knew that, but the value stocks are taking it on the chin. And then you think about why it’s very obvious we’ve had this huge rally in industrial companies in financials. That’s what tends to dominate the value indices on the small cap side. Consider 40% of debt held by Russell companies is floating rate versus just 21% for the S&P. So everything that’s happening on your screen right now is exactly what you would have predicted if I would have given you this inflation print yesterday. Why is that relevant to tomorrow? Here’s why none of these weight panics have been a lasting hurdle for the S&P 500. We tend to process these things over 48 to 36 hours and we will be back to the original game we were playing. And I think what you’re seeing today is counter trend. The number one debate now, as silly as it sounds, is June versus July. The number two debate is 2 versus 3 in 2024. So let’s say they go in July and they can’t go in June. When’s the next opportunity? They’re not going to go in September to political can’t do it in final election. So you get July, December. Those are your two cuts for 24. If that’s a reason to not buy any of the stocks that you want to buy, I can’t figure out that connection. So I think for the allocator that’s watching this action, I think you’re looking at an opportunity to get long not to panic because you’re getting slightly less relief on the interest rate side. So you then don’t think that today marks some kind of game changer for a rally that started at the end of October, has set new records and even though we’ve had to rethink the direction of the Fed along the way, the greater trend is still up. It look, it’s a game changer if you’re one of these people who piled into semis in the last two weeks, forgetting that they’re cyclical. It’s certainly every single component of the SMH is down today except NVIDIA. So yes, if you chase the momentum trade because you thought rate hikes were going to continue to fuel it, maybe it’s a game changer for you. I think most people have not been playing that game. I think for most people they’re in a good position. They’re looking at the rest of their portfolio. Some of it’s very rate sensitive, some of it isn’t and they’re just fine on a day like today. And I don’t think materially anyone would really say like, Oh, my whole investing outlook for the next year is now changed.

News Related

OTHER NEWS

Fantic Enters The Sporty Side Of Town With Stealth 125 And Imola Concept

Fantic Stealth 125 and Imola Concept The Italian manufacturer’s sporty offerings are designed to appeal to the beginner segment. The 125cc segment, pretty much non-existent in the US market, is ... Read more »

Discover the Health Benefits of Valencia Orange: Serving Sizes, Nutrition Facts, and Concerns Curated by Nutrition Professionals.

Valencia orange image Perspective from Roseane M Silva Master in Health Sciences, Bachelor in Nutrition · 7 years of experience · Brazil Possible Side Effects People who are allergic to ... Read more »

Kibsons at the heart of the better food systems debate bound for Cop28

Leading grocery delivery company Kibsons says it is already answering the call for greener production processes as food security and sourcing enter the Cop28 spotlight later this month. The UAE ... Read more »

Government passes draft budget law for FY2024

AMMAN — The government on Wednesday endorsed the draft general budget law for 2024 with estimated public revenues of JD10.3 billion, marking an increase of 8.9 per cent compared with ... Read more »

New forecasted capital expenditure for fiscal year 2024 stands at JD73 million — Gov’t

AMMAN — The new forecasted capital expenditure for the fiscal year 2024 stands at JD73.317 million, according to the 2024 public budget draft law. The government allocated JD1.729 billion as ... Read more »

Historical insights: Evolution of archaeological research in Jordan from post-World War I to 1960s

AMMAN — The post World War I period marks the beginning of scholarly research in Jordan. During the British Mandate in Jordan, the Department of Antiquities in Amman was founded ... Read more »

No fruit acids, whitening creams: UAE authority issues guidelines for salon cosmetics

The Sharjah City Municipality has issued a set of guidelines for the use of cosmetic products in hair salons and beauty centres. The authority urges salons to stick to these ... Read more »
Top List in the World