Race-by-race preview and tips for Wednesday’s meeting at Warwick Farm

07/05/2024

Selections are based on a Heavy 9 track and rail true.

Race 1: 2YO COLTS & GELDINGS MAIDEN PLATE (1000m)

We start on a very heavy surface with the juvenile maiden boys at set weights, and all but one accepted are on debut. Confident highly touted colt 2. Emirate by renowned wet track sire Extreme Choice can open his career with a bang. Has been strong through the line in a couple of soft track trials, the latest making up steady ground when hard on the bridle. Draws to get the sweet run inside with gear additions for the leading Waller/McDonald combination.

race-by-race preview and tips for wednesday’s meeting at warwick farm

Warwick Farm will host a seven-race card on Wednesday.

Dangers: Naturally any late market moves will have a big say, but fancy first-starter 1. Braveheart is the immediate threat from the Snowden stable. Has looked strong through two progressive metro trials, and bred to thrive in the going being by prolific I Am Invincible out of a Holy Roman Emperor mare who won at group 3 level. Another one who looks ready to rock on debut is Shalaa colt 8. Shalaa Gold for the Bjorn Baker yard who showed good acceleration to win that second of two recent trials in front of the top selection, but was pushed out over the final furlong. Gap to the rest headed by 3. Freezing on debut behind two trials for Godolphin, and bred to relish the going being by Frosted out of a Street Cry mare; and 4. Insist, also by Extreme Choice and starting behind two forward trials.How to play it: Emirate to win and first four 1,2,8/1,2,3,4,8/1,2,3,4,8/1,2,3,4,8.

Race: 2 3YO MAIDEN HCP (1300m)

Now the three-year-olds lock horns, and it shapes best at the value for improving 3. Determination second-up for the same leading jockey/trainer combination in only his second prep. Did his best work late when fresh at the provincials, but fitter now and is drawn to settle closer.Dangers: Big watch on ex-Kiwi filly 1. Emila Jane by Derryn who was a group 2 winner in Soft 7 ground. Now based in the Joe Pride yard and has been fitted with two easy trials after an eye-catching debut across the Tasman in late January. Keep very safe 8. Star Act who has an edge in fitness fourth-up after three handy provincial efforts when tight in the market, and crucially blinkers go on; while 7. Shamrock Sally is also in the mix after closing off well at Kembla in her first outing since a similar run on debut at Canterbury last December. By renowned wet track sire Charm Spirit.How to play it: Determination to win.

Race 3: 2YO FILLIES’ MAIDEN PLATE (1000m)

The girls’ edition of the two-year-olds is a more open affair, again with most on debut. One of those is exciting 3. Clean Energy who can overcome a wide draw for the Waterhouse-Bott stable. By high class Zoustar, and has comfortably won both lead-up trials on Soft 7. With tactical speed, and the fact he will come in a few barrier spots after scratchings, only has to jump cleanly to be right there at the finish.Dangers: No shortage of these headed by well-bred 9. Lady Shenandoah for the Waller yard. Similarly, right there in two soft track trials, with plenty in the tank on the line, and she draws to get a handy run in transit. Drawn closer in, 12. Shezasiren by Everest winner Yes Yes Yes starts her career with gear additions behind consecutive trial wins; while 7. Husk is drawn wide for the Hawkes camp, resuming for only her second start behind two tidy trials, and by the smart UK sprinter Calyx who in turn is by the mighty Kingman. Both first starters 8. Jellicious off two progressive trials for the Ciaron Maher stable; and 15. Glorioso third-up in her second prep for Godolphin if she gains a start; can run into the minor money.How to play it: Clean Energy to win.

Race 4: BENCHMARK 72 HCP (1600m)

Tough and fit mare 5. Cabaca can finally crack a fourth career win, and continue a potentially big day for the Waller stable. Came off two mixed efforts up to group 3 level in Tasmania to be ridden much quieter and found the line late in a deeper BM 78 at Caulfield. Then ridden further forward, hit the line well in a similar race to this 13 days ago. Proven on wet tracks, and a stronger and far more experienced jockey goes on.Dangers: Improving 8. Tenderize is also well placed over a furlong further, and second-up off a five week freshen-up. Was taken to the front before fading late last start, but suspect he’ll be ridden quieter here from the softer draw, and be saved up for one final surge from the 400m. Similarly drawn to either lead, or take a trail with cover, 6. Destiny’s Delight is a real each-way threat stepping up from an all-the-way BM 64 win at Kembla. Gap to the rest headed by 4. Mr Buster, a lightly raced stablemate of the former who draws the fence, and reloads second-up five weeks between runs. Naturally, watch the market with imported four-year-old 1. Tajawal by superstar Frankel who hasn’t raced since being beaten narrowly in an 85-rated race in the UK last October, and has been fitted with two easy trials for the Annabel Neasham yard.How to play it: Cabaca to win.

Race 5: BENCHMARK 72 HCP (1000m)

Back to the sprint trip for the gallopers aged five years and older, and sparingly raced 7. Boomsong can strike first-up off a nine-month spell which included surgery to remove a bone chip. Has trialled well enough, and shown he comes to hand quickly having won a BM 64 fresh at his provincial home to start the last campaign. Looks handily treated just 1kg over the limit, and loves the ground being by prolific wet track sire Your Song out of an Anabaa mare.Dangers: Resuming mare 2. Ringarosa has a smart fresh record, and fitted with a soft trial at this track 12 days ago. Charged home from well back to win here nearly a year ago against similar opposition. No reason the tough six-year-old 1. Akaka Falls can’t grab a third straight win this prep, despite jumping back into metro company. Swept home to win a handy provincial BM 68 before carrying a big weight to win the Cup Day Sprint at Orange 19 days ago. Naturally taking on some better ones here, but draws okay and will carry 3.5kg less after the rider’s claim. Another one resuming off a lengthy break with a tidy first-up record is 8. Boss who drew the inside, and cruised home to win a provincial trial; while 4. My Eloise is an each-way knockout chance resuming off a steady trial.How to play it: Boomsong to win.

Race 6: COLTS, GELDINGS & ENTIRES’ BENCHMARK 72 HCP (1300m)

Same graded affair for the boys only, and in a race of many chances, the best value lies with talented three-year-old 5. Gelatin who resumes as gelding off two progressive trials. Won consecutive races last prep on heavy ground before finishing just behind the placegetters in a Midway BM 72. Draws to sit right behind the speed, and loves the going.Dangers: No doubting 1. Huesca is right up to winning this, having placed twice in his last three in stronger grade, but up sharply to a hefty and steadying weight, and he remains unproven in real heavy going. Keep safe 2. Convincibility better suited coming back 100m in distance from the Midway Provincial Championship Final where he led at big odds before dropping out. Watch the betting on lightly raced 11. Tannenburg first-up behind a quiet trial; while including in all exotic plays 3. The Little Pumper, resuming being two trials; and 6. Khumbila who steps up in class having not missed a place in his last five at the provincials.How to play it: Gelatin to win.

Race 7: FILLIES’ & MARES BENCHMARK 72 HCP (1300m)