Opinion: Mandatory vaccinations won't help now

Opinion: Mandatory vaccinations won't help now
© Provided by dw.com It’s going to take a lockdown, not mandatory vaccination, to get COVID under control, says Joscha Weber

When it comes to organizing their society, Germans generally tend to look for consensus. The political system is based on debate, which eventually allows the country to reach a compromise that most people can agree to.

There have been few exceptions to this rule, though some issues have split the country. Dealing with the more than a million refugees who arrived in Germany in 2015 was one such issue. Today, the question of mandatory COVID-19 vaccinations has turned into another emotional debate dividing the country.

Some people have come out in favor of requiring jabs , while others are strictly against it. Several recent polls show a more or less clear majority of people supporting mandatory vaccinations: Der Spiegel newsmagazine reported 72%, YouGov found 69% and the ARD public broadcaster said 57% of people in Germany support mandatory vaccinations. A survey by the tabloid Bild newspaper, however, said 70% are against the measure.

But regardless of which set of statistics is correct, now is absolutely the wrong time for a debate on mandatory vaccinations.

Forced vaccinations won’t help us now

Coronavirus infections are exploding in Germany, with cases among children reaching dizzying heights. Some hospitals are already overstretched and confronting the potential necessity of triaging patients. Over 100,000 people in Germany have already died because of COVID-19 and Christian Drosten, one of the country’s top virologists, has warned that, conservatively speaking, there will be 100,000 more deaths.

Germany, a country that so far had got off relatively lightly during this pandemic, is standing at a coronavirus abyss. Could mandatory vaccinations prevent the worst? Unfortunately, the answer is no.

Look at it in concrete terms: even if mandatory vaccinations were introduced next week — which with the ongoing transition from old to new German government is highly unlikely — and under even ideal circumstances, it would be months until the unvaccinated get appointments for their first and second shot, and even longer before they’re fully protected. And that’s only if the people who don’t want the shots decide to show up for the vaccinations in the first place, which is also unlikely. Since several catastrophic management decisions have limited Germany’s vaccine supply for booster shots — which would still need to be given alongside the mandatory shots — additional delays would be likely, to put it mildly.

Disinformation can’t be allowed to win

Even if legislation mandating vaccinations were able to stand up to the constitutional challenges that would certainly be filed, it would come with several negative side effects.

Those opposed to the vaccines would feel ostracized. While some may say that’s their own fault, many of the people who now feel excluded from society and stigmatized are susceptible to messages promising an escape — and populists and conspiracy theorists know how to take advantage of that.

If all the promises from politicians that vaccinations would always remain voluntary suddenly evaporate into thin air, those populists and peddlers of conspiracy theories would win. They will see truth in the fictions of a conspiracy among politicians, the pharmaceutical industry and the media to force vaccinations on everyone. It would result in a not-so-small minority of people turning their backs on government and democracy.

There’s also another reason to oppose mandatory vaccinations: calculations show that the effect would be small when compared with other measures. A team of mathematicians at the Mittweida University of Applied Sciences in Saxony created a model that took into account several factors, including vaccine efficacy and the infectiousness of COVID variants, to determine which measures work best at stopping the spread of the virus. The result showed that even if mandatory vaccinations began on Monday, there would be considerably more than 2 million acute coronavirus infections in Germany.

An unpopular truth: ‘Only another lockdown will help’

Debate over mandatory vaccinations is a distraction from the real question: How long until the next lockdown? Only severely limiting contact with others can stop the current rapid spread of the virus. It’s an unpopular truth that no one wants to hear because of how much it impacts all aspects of life. But there’s no way around it.

There’s no way around it because we’re talking about people’s lives. If we continue under the current COVID regulations, Germany can expect to see 300,000 more deaths — 300,000. It’s an unbelievable number.

Yes, it’s only an estimate determined with a differential equation model by Kristan Schneider of the Mittweida University, but it’s one that makes realistic assumptions. Mandatory vaccinations alone, his calculations show, would only help over the medium term and even that comes with conditions. More than 200,000 people could still end up dying.

Schneider’s conclusion: “Contact restrictions are the most effective measure that we have. Only another lockdown will help now.”

That’s why Germany needs to pull the emergency break and put a lockdown in place. Every person’s life is precious. That should be something that everyone in Germany can agree on.

This commentary has been translated from German

Author: Joscha Weber

News Related

OTHER NEWS

Luis Gerardo Méndez, Debby Ryan Among Seven Cast in Peacock Comedy Series ‘The Resort'

© Courtesy of Ricardo Ramos; Chelsea Lauren/WWD Peacock has set seven cast members for the upcoming comedy thriller series “The Resort,” Variety has learned. Luis Gerardo Méndez, Nina Bloomgarden, and Gabriela ... Read more »

Do Alpha Pokémon respawn in Pokémon Legends: Arceus?

© Provided by Dot Esports In Pokémon Legends: Arceus, there are a number of new features and mechanics that were added to the game, and Alpha Pokémon is one of ... Read more »

Central Alberta city to close homeless camp as future plans unknown

WETASKIWIN, Alta. — A central Alberta city is closing a homeless encampment with help from Mounties because of safety risks it says will persist if it remains open. © Provided ... Read more »

N.L.'s Memorial University apologizes for anti-Black racism after slur used in course

ST. JOHN’S, N.L. — Delores Mullings says she was not surprised by a video posted to social media this week that appears to show an instructor at Memorial University using ... Read more »

Cher Performs ‘Thank You For Being A Friend' In Honour Of Betty White

Cher is honouring Betty White. In a sneak peek of NBC’s “Celebrating Betty White”, the iconic singer sang a rendition of “The Golden Girls” theme song “Thank You For Being ... Read more »

Netflix Releases New Spy Drama ‘In From The Cold'

Netflix is ready to get you on the edge of your seat. On Friday, the streaming platform teased their new Russian spy series “In From The Cold”. The official synopsis ... Read more »

O'Toole says he will meet with truckers, tells politicians to 'take the temperature down' over protest

© Provided by National Post “Everyone deserves to have their voice heard in a peaceful protest. That is a democratic right,” Conservative leader Erin O’Toole said Thursday. Conservative Leader Erin ... Read more »

Covid surge: 64-hour lockdown clamped in Jammu and Kashmir

© Provided by Hindustan Times Police stationed at Srinagar’s Lal Chowk as weekend lockdown is imposed in J&K on Friday. (ANI Photo) As Covid-19 cases continue to show spike, a ... Read more »

Katy Perry Shares Sneak Peek Of Her ‘SNL' Performance

Willem Dafoe will be making his hosting debut on this weekend’s “Saturday Night Live”, and he’ll be joined by musical guest Katy Perry. © Photo by Gotham/GC Images Katy Perry ... Read more »

Vulnerable adolescents 12 to 17 years old should get COVID-19 booster shots, NACI says

Adolescents 12 to 17 years old who are especially vulnerable to COVID-19 should get booster shots, the National Advisory Committee on Immunization (NACI) said in updated guidance issued Friday. That includes those ... Read more »

Right Word | Rajju Bhayya, a physics professor, who became third RSS Sarsanghchalak and believed in ‘assertive Hindus'

© Provided by Firstpost Right Word | Rajju Bhayya, a physics professor, who became third RSS Sarsanghchalak and believed in ‘assertive Hindus’ It was 11 March, 1994 and a meeting ... Read more »

Toronto police sending resources to Ottawa ahead of ‘major demonstration'

© Zou Zheng/Xinhua via ZUMA Press People gather on a bridge over Highway 400 in support of truckers who are on their way to Ottawa for the ”freedom convoy” protest, ... Read more »

Bengal logs 3,805 new Covid cases, 34 more dead

© Provided by The Indian Express West Bengal on Friday reported 3,805 fresh cases of coronavirus infection (Covid-19), taking the state tally to 19,86,667, according to a state bulletin. Of ... Read more »

Ford Wants You To Play 'Escape Room' Inside A Mustang Mach-E

It’s still a working concept at this point, but will you want one in your car? Ford announced that it’s developing a new concept that allows you to play ‘Escape ... Read more »

Home is where the mall was

While there was never anything particularly innovative about South Etobicoke’s Stonegate Plaza, the demolition of the 1950s strip mall was ahead of its time. © Provided by National Post The ... Read more »

EC announces schedule for biennial election to Uttar Pradesh Legislative Council, details here

© Provided by Zee News New Delhi: The Election Commission of India on Friday (January 28, 2022) announced the schedule for the biennial election of 36 members of the Uttar ... Read more »

The best cards from day 2 of Kamigawa: Neon Dynasty spoilers

© Provided by Dot Esports Kamigawa: Neon Dynasty is only two days into its preview season, and it’s clear the set will have a major impact on a Standard meta ... Read more »

Pune: Fire brigade rescues 10 Persian cats from burning building in Ghorpade Peth 4

© Provided by The Indian Express PUNE FIRE brigade rescued citizens and 10 Persian cats from a building in Ghorpade Peth that caught fire on Friday evening. Fire Officer P ... Read more »

Ministry of Education declines to give school sports tournaments the green light

© Francis Georgian Semiahmoo Totems’ Deja Lee takes the ball to the basket as Walnut Grove’s Fania Taylor (7) blocks in the girls basketball final at Langley Events Centre in ... Read more »

How to release Pokémon in Pokémon Legends: Arceus

© Provided by Dot Esports Pokémon Legends: Arceus at its core wants you to travel across the Hisui region, catch Pokémon, and fill up the pages in your Pokédex. And ... Read more »

Senior U.S. official to visit Lithuania in show of support over Chinese 'coercion'

© Reuters/JANIS LAIZANS FILE PHOTO: Flags at Taiwanese Representative Office in Lithuania WASHINGTON (Reuters) – A senior U.S. official will visit Lithuania next week to discuss enhancing economic cooperation with ... Read more »

The 7 books everyone will be reading in February.

Occasionally you read a book that sticks with you. That happened to me when I read Marian Keyes’ novel Rachel’s Holiday in the late 1990s. The book made me feel ... Read more »

Spurs could ship out trio on loan before deadline day

Brighton are interested in taking Joe Rodon on loan from Tottenham should they sell Dan Burn to Newcastle.  Levante also like Rodon, who signed for Spurs from Swansea in a ... Read more »

Mitt Romney says he tested positive for COVID-19

Utah Senator Mitt Romney has tested positive for COVID-19, his office said in a statement Friday night. The 74-year-old Republican, who has been fully vaccinated and boosted, is asymptomatic.  The ... Read more »

Florida officials say dealers used dating apps to sell marijuana, meth and other drugs. Dozens charged in undercover operation

After a six-month undercover investigation, authorities in Florida have charged 68 people in connection with the sale of illegal narcotics on the mobile dating apps Grindr, Scruff and Taimi. © ... Read more »

Why is Russia worried about NATO - and what does it have to do with Ukraine?

Divisions have opened among members of the security bloc as the Ukraine crisis becomes a flashpoint for geopolitical tensions. Read more »

Gas stoves worse for climate than previously thought: study

Researcher Eric Lebel attaches sensors to a stove to measure how often it is used. AP / Rob Jackson Gas stoves are contributing more to global warming than previously thought ... Read more »

AirAsia Group changes name to Capital A

© STAR / File AirAsia Group changes name to Capital A MANILA, Philippines — AirAsia Group Bhd, which operates a network of low-cost carriers including AirAsia Philippines, has changed its ... Read more »

What Francine Diaz did to get slimmer face, defined jawline

Read more »

Lualhati Bautista receives offer for 'Dekada '70' Penguin Classics edition

Acclaimed author Lualhati Bautista’s magnum opus Dekada ’70 is in the offing to be part of Penguin Classics, which houses titles from the global literary canon. In a Jan. 27 ... Read more »

New omicron BA.2 variant more transmissible but vaccines are more effective against it

© Provided by The Telegraph vaccine The omicron BA.2 variant is slightly more transmissible but vaccines are more effective against it, the first official data from the UK Health Security ... Read more »

Ferolino accuses Guanzon of trying to influence Marcos DQ case

© Commission on Appointments hearing screenshot Comelec Commissioner Aimee Ferolino-Ampoloquio at CA hearing, March 24, 2021 Comelec Commissioner Aimee Ferolino has accused Commissioner Rowena Guanzon of trying to influence her ... Read more »

‘9-1-1: Lone Star' Sierra McClain on dramatic ice storm baby episode

Grace Ryder (Sierra McClain) gives birth in an ice storm in a a tense episode of “911: Lone Star.” Ice ice, baby. Monday’s episode of “9-1-1: Lone Star” gets tense, ... Read more »

State leaders resisting Mayor Adams on bail reform don't have a leg to stand on

State legislative leaders in Albany refuse to revisit the controversial criminal justice reforms passed in 2019. AP The state Legislature’s leaders instantly poured cold water on Mayor Eric Adams’ request ... Read more »

Janet Jackson finally addresses the decades-long rumor that she had a secret child with her first husband

© Provided by INSIDER Janet Jackson and James DeBarge in July 1984. Vinnie Zuffante/Getty Images In her new documentary, Janet Jackson denies the rumor that she had a child with ... Read more »

Ukraine-Krise: Biden will bald US-Truppen nach Osteuropa verlegen

© Keystone/AP/Andrew Harnik Die USA werden nach Angaben von Präsident Joe Biden wegen der Ukraine-Krise bald zusätzliche US-Truppen in die osteuropäischen Nato-Staaten verlegen. Es gehe dabei um “nicht zu viele” ... Read more »

Rebellion der ungeimpften Trucker: LKW-Impf-Protestzug rollt durch Kanada

Ungeimpfte Trucker fahren durch ganz Kanada, um in Ottawa gegen das Impfmandat der Regierung zu protestieren. © Bereitgestellt von Blick LKW-Impf-Protestzug rollt durch Kanada Kanadische Lastwagenfahrer lehnen sich gegen das ... Read more »

Danny Dyer reveals heartbreak over family death saying it was ‘f***ing heavy' and trauma still haunts him today

DANNY Dyer has spoken out about the death of his grandfather and confessed the trauma still haunts him today. The 48-year-old opened up on his podcast with daughter Dani, Sorted ... Read more »

To celebrate her Platinum Jubilee Sun readers share their heartwarming stories of meeting The Queen

NEXT weekend, the Queen will have been on the throne for an incredible 70 years. She was a 25-year-old mum of two when her father George VI died on February ... Read more »

Carlos Beltran joins YES booth as analyst to end baseball exile

Carlos Beltran has exited baseball exile. The 20-year veteran has been hired by YES Network as a game analyst and is expected to call 36 games, YES’s Jack Curry announced ... Read more »
On free-english-test.com you will find lots of free English exam practice materials to help you improve your English skills: grammar, listening, reading, writing, ielts, toeic