New Chicago Mayoral Poll Shows Vallas, Johnson Even Tighter Than Before

The poll, released by Victory Research, showed former Chicago Public Schools CEO Paul Vallas still holding a small lead over Cook County Commissioner Brandon Johnson, but that lead shrank

A new poll in the upcoming mayoral runoff election in Chicago shows the race continues to grow tighter.

The poll, released by Victory Research, showed former Chicago Public Schools CEO Paul Vallas still holding a small lead over Cook County Commissioner Brandon Johnson, but that lead shrank.

According to the research group, Vallas saw his potential six-point lead shrink from six points, the number reported in a poll conducted earlier in March, to two points.

Also notable is the percentage of respondents who said they were undecided. That number also dropped from 16% to 9.6%, according to the poll. In addition, respondents were asked if their “mind is made up” or if they could change their answers before April 4 and 15.5% said they could still change their mind.

The poll included responses from more than 800 likely voters in the runoff election, and it has a margin of error of 3.45%.

According to Victory Research, the results showed Johnson leading slightly among female voters, a group Vallas had formerly led in. Geographically, Vallas led with voters on the Northwest and Southwest Sides, while Johnson held “a wide lead” on the South and West Sides. But the north lakefront remains in play for both.

An Updated Endorsement Guide to the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election

Neither candidate has secured a majority in Hispanic voters as well, according to the results, though Vallas appears to hold a wide lead amongst white voters while Johnson leads among Black voters.

Vallas and Johnson advanced to the runoff election out of a field of nine candidates, including incumbent Mayor Lori Lightfoot. According to data from the Chicago Board of Elections, Vallas received 32.9 percent of the first-round vote, while Johnson won 21.63 percent of the vote.

The pair continue to rack up endorsements in the race, including some high-profile names.

Johnson has so far seen recent endorsements from former opponent Jesus “Chuy” Garcia, Sen. Elizabeth Warren and Sen. Bernie Sanders, among others.

Vallas has secured endorsements from former Illinois Secretary of State Jesse White, former Illinois Gov. Pat Quinn and former opponent Willie Wilson, among others.