2024 Corales Puntacana Championship odds: Surprising PGA picks, predictions from model that's called 11 majors

OWINGS MILLS, MARYLAND – AUGUST 27: Bryson DeChambeau of the United States plays his shot from the second tee during the second round of the BMW Championship at Caves Valley Golf Club on August 27, 2021 in Owings Mills, Maryland. (Photo by Cliff Hawkins/Getty Images)

The seventh PGA Tour iteration of the Corales Puntacana Championship will begin on Thursday at Corales Golf Club in the Dominican Republic. The first two years of the event were played as Web.com Tour tournaments, but it was elevated to the PGA Tour beginning in 2018. Defending champion Matt Wallace is not in the 2024 Corales Puntacana Championship field, but Nicolai Hojgaard is returning after a runner-up finish last year. Hojgaard turned heads at the Masters last week when he was briefly tied for the lead in the third round.

However, Alex Noren is the 12-1 favorite in the 2024 Corales Puntacana Championship odds, followed by Hojgaard (14-1) and Billy Horschel (20-1). There are only four golfers listed inside of 30-1 on the PGA odds board, so are there any longshots you should target with your 2024 Corales Puntacana Championship bets? Before locking in your 2024 Corales Puntacana Championship picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up almost $10,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

McClure’s model correctly predicted Scottie Scheffler would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2024 Masters, the Arnold Palmer Invitational, and The Players Championship this season. McClure also included Hideki Matsuyama in his best bets to win the 2024 Genesis Invitational. That bet hit at +9000, and for the entire tournament, McClure’s best bets returned nearly $1,000.

The model also predicted Jon Rahm would be victorious at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. At the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm’s second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scheffler winning in 2022.

In addition, McClure’s best bets included Nick Taylor (70-1) winning the 2023 RBC Canadian Open, Jason Day (17-1) winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson, and Rickie Fowler (14-1) finishing on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 11 majors entering the weekend and hit the Masters three straight years. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now that the Corales Puntacana Championship 2024 field is finalized, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

Top 2024 Corales Puntacana Championship predictions 

One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2024 Corales Puntacana Championship: Noren, who is the favorite has finished inside the top 20 in four straight PGA tournaments, struggles this week and barely cracks the top five. Noren played in his first PGA Tour event in 2008, and he has played in 171 PGA tournaments overall. However, he is still seeking his first victory, so it is difficult to justify his position as the favorite on the odds board this week.

Noren has struggled with his driver this season, ranked outside the top 100 in total driving and driving distance. He also sits outside the top 150 on the PGA Tour in putting average and one-putt percentage, so he would need to make drastic improvements during all four rounds this week. While this is a weaker field due to the RBC Heritage, the model has identified better golfers to back in the Dominican Republic.

Another surprise: Victor Perez, a 35-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The Frenchman finished inside the top 15 at the PGA Championship last year before making the cut at the Open Championship during a successful 2023 season.

Perez has seven professional wins, including three on the European Tour, and he is still seeking his first PGA Tour victory. The 31-year-old finished T3 in the Puerto Rico Open last month before cracking the top 20 at the Texas Children’s Houston Open. He has proven he can beat up on weak fields and he ranks fourth on the PGA Tour in GIR percentage (71.8), making him an excellent longshot pick this week. See who else to pick here.

How to make 2024 Corales Puntacana Championship picks

The model is also targeting five other golfers with odds of 30-1 or longer to make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s picks here.

Who will win the 2024 Corales Puntacana Championship, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the Corales Puntacana Championship 2024 odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected Corales Puntacana Championship leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 11 golf majors, including the last three Masters.

2024 Corales Puntacana Championship odds, field

Get full 2024 Corales Puntacana Championship picks, best bets, and predictions here.

Alex Noren +1200

Nicolai Hojgaard +1400

Billy Horschel +2000

Aaron Rai +2200

Nate Lashley +3000

Ben Martin +3500

Mark Hubbard +3500

Kevin Yu +3500

Doug Ghim +3500

Davis Thompson +3500

Daniel Berger +3500

Victor Perez +3500

Ben Griffin +4000

K.H. Lee +4000

Bud Cauley +4000

Sam Stevens +4500

Sam Ryder +4500

Justin Lower +4500

Jhonattan Vegas +4500

Thriston Lawrence +4500

S.H. Kim +5000

Joseph Bramlett +5000

Joel Dahmen +5000

Garrick Higgo +5000

Nick Hardy +5500

Max Greyserman +5500

Matt Kuchar +5500

Justin Suh +5500

Greyson Sigg +5500

Chan Kim +5500

Alex Fitzpatrick +6000

Michael Kim +6000

Matti Schmid +6000

Jimmy Stanger +6000

Carl Yuan +6000

Tyler Duncan +6000

Taylor Pendrith +6000

Peter Kuest +6500

Jacob Bridgeman +6500

Chad Ramey +6500

Ben Silverman +7000

Chris Gotterup +7000

Kevin Dougherty +7500

Alex Smalley +8000

Rico Hoey +8000

Joe Highsmith +8000

Hayden Springer +8000

Charley Hoffman +8000

Austin Smotherman +9000

Parker Coody +9000

Martin Trainer +9000