Ian lining up to clobber Florida’s west coast

ian lining up to clobber florida’s west coast

Waves kicked up under a dark sky along the shore of Batabano, Cuba, as Hurricane Ian approached

If you’ve been following the progress of Hurricane Ian as well as its future track you know that a day ago it looked like it potentially would have a major impact on Tampa. That city has not seen a direct hit from a major hurricane in 100 years and while it’s clearly possible the city may still take a direct hit from the storm, the latest trajectory looks to impact areas south of that region in a bigger way.

As way of reference, back in 1920, the city of Tampa had about 51,000 residents, now that number is almost 395,000, and a major hurricane strike would bring catastrophic damage in billions of dollars.

This type of population explosion is typical for the entire area. Over in St. Petersburg, between 1920 and 1930 alone, its population tripled to 40,000. Today, there are more than 260,000 people residing in the city.

And while forecasting of hurricanes has become exponentially more accurate over the past couple of decades it is still not perfect.

Maps show a projected track as one line but there’s always a shaded area where that track can move. In the case of our current storm, Sarasota and Fort Myers have been potential targets but the media has been focusing on Tampa.

This can lead to complacency of those who aren’t in the direct path of the storm one day, but enter it the next.

There’s a clear misunderstanding by the public of how these maps work and the ability of forecasters to predict the exact path and strength of a storm days in advance.  Ultimately, it’s better to be overprepared, than underprepared, because in the case of this storm, there will be catastrophic damage somewhere on Florida’s central west coast.

Ultimately the exact location of where the storm comes onshore and how strong it is will determine where the damage is worst.

The radar loop from Tuesday afternoon already shows clear bands of heavy rain with thunderstorms and gusty winds moving into South Florida. The eye is southwest of Key West and the storm is continuing to strengthen.

As the storm approaches the Florida coastline a swath of rain perhaps as much as 20 inches will fall and will create freshwater flooding. Surface roads and causeways will be impacted and in some cases could be completely destroyed.

After the storm comes inland it will cross the Florida peninsula and then emerge back into the Atlantic. It’s likely to bring significant rain and flooding to coastal Georgia and Savannah itself could have serious issues depending on the track and strength of the storm.

Because of the counter-clockwise circulation of the winds around Ian, areas to the north will see the wind blow sea water out to the ocean, but areas to the south of the center will have a wall of water being blow inland.

With the configuration of the coastline the water can spread very far inland and cause heavy damage.

This is likely to be another billion-dollar damage storm for Florida and the United States.  Here in New England we have not had a hurricane reach our shore since Bob in 1991.  Our region is statistically long overdue for a hurricane and it is only a matter of time before we all experience a hurricane’s fury.

News Related


Woman arrested for vehicular homicide after deadly single-vehicle crash in Roy

A 48-year-old woman was killed in a single-vehicle crash in southwest Pierce County early Saturday, according to the Pierce County Sheriff’s Department. Just after midnight, deputies responded to the 1200 ... Read more »

13 arrested at Stroudsburg sobriety checkpoint

13 arrested at Stroudsburg sobriety checkpoint MONROE COUNTY (WBRE/WYOU) – State police announced 13 people were arrested over the course of their field sobriety checkpoint in Monroe County. Officials said ... Read more »

Kyrie Irving Donates 60K to NYC's Oldest Black Muslim School

Kyrie Irving showed up at New York City’s Oldest Black Muslim School and donated $600,000. The Brooklyn Nets superstar guard Kyrie Irving has a long and lengthy history of giving ... Read more »

NYC bill preventing landlords from performing criminal background checks gains traction

New York City Mayor Eric Adams has suggested he supports the legislation Read more »

Spain vs Germany live stream: how to watch World Cup 2022 online from anywhere

Spain take on Germany in Al Khor on Sunday in a game that Die Mannschaft really need to win. The two sides had very contrasting opening games and another defeat ... Read more »

10 Awesome Kit Cars Based On Real Machines We Could Never Afford

10 Awesome Kit Cars Based On Real Machines We Could Never Afford To be completely honest, kit cars started as a way for carmakers to lessen taxes and sell more ... Read more »

Water Contact Warning Lifted for Silver Strand Shoreline

The San Diego County Department of Environmental Health has issued a water contact warning for beaches in Imperial Beach and Coronado. A water contact warning was lifted Saturday for Silver ... Read more »

How much does a truck driver earn in US by hour: what is the average salary?

A truck driver carries Peugeot cars from a temporary parking in Malbouhans, eastern France on November 25, 2022. – Due to a lack of truck drivers, the Stellantis plant of ... Read more »

More anti-COVID protests in China triggered by deadly fire

More anti-COVID protests in China triggered by deadly fire Protests against China’s restrictive COVID measures appeared to roil in several cities Saturday night, in displays of public defiance fanned by ... Read more »

Report: Trump Praised Extremist Nick Fuentes At Mar-A-Lago Dinner

Donald Trump this week praised his dinner guest Nick Fuentes, one of the most prominent young right-wing extremists in the nation, according to a report Friday in The New York ... Read more »

Short Creek Bridge opens after yearlong closure

Short Creek Bridge opens after yearlong closure BOAZ, Ala. (WHNT) – A bridge connecting southern DeKalb County to Boaz is open for the first time in a year. According to ... Read more »

Aidan Hutchinson Reacts to Michigan Win: Two In a Row

The Michigan Wolverines were nearly double digit underdogs against the Ohio State Buckeyes. Instead, the 12-0 Wolverines were able to impose their will on the road, in a hostile environment, ... Read more »

Police: 1 killed, 3 shot breaking into Georgia home

DEKALB COUNTY, Ga. (AP) — An 18-year-old was killed and three others were injured Friday in a shooting after they attempted to break into a DeKalb County home, police said. ... Read more »

Security Guard Held at Gunpoint During Robbery at Bank of America in Skokie

Police in Skokie are searching for two armed suspects who robbed a bank Saturday in the northern suburb, authorities said. The robbery was reported at approximately 11:34 a.m. at Bank ... Read more »

Trump's former US ambassador to Israel blasts meeting with Ye, Nick Fuentes: 'You are better than this'

Prominent Jewish leaders are slamming former President Donald Trump after he hosted a dinner at his Florida estate that included rap artist Kanye West, also known as Ye, and white ... Read more »

Big Ten boss Kevin Warren: 'Without a doubt' OSU deserves CFP spot

Big Ten boss Kevin Warren: 'Without a doubt' OSU deserves CFP spot COLUMBUS, Ohio — Big Ten Commissioner Kevin Warren called No. 3 Michigan's 45-23 victory over No. 2 Ohio ... Read more »

Elon Musk sculpture appears in Austin, Texas

The sculpture costs $600,000 to produce Read more »

Trump criticized for dinner with white nationalist, Kanye West

NEW YORK —  Former President Trump has again turned a blind eye to bigotry by dining with a Holocaust-denying white nationalist and Kanye West just days into his third campaign for ... Read more »

Texas WR Xavier Worthy removes Longhorns-related posts from Instagram

Texas WR Xavier Worthy removes Longhorns-related posts from Instagram It appears Texas wide receiver Xavier Worthy could enter the NCAA transfer portal sooner rather than later. Rumors have been circulating ... Read more »

Drive-by shooting injures 2 at funeral at Nashville church

A crime scene is taped off at New Season Church in Nashville, Tenn., on Saturday, Nov. 26, 2022. Metro Nashville Police say two people suffered injuries that are not considered ... Read more »

Lionel Messi fires World Cup 2022 warning as Argentina hero belatedly kickstarts Qatar campaign

LionelMessi2611B Lionel Messi declared Argentina’s World Cup belatedly underway after inspiring Sunday night’s crucial victory over Mexico. Having been stunned by Saudi Arabia in their opening game earlier in the ... Read more »

23-year-old Kylian Mbappé could overtake these Pelé, Ronaldo and Messi World Cup records

Kylian Mbappé has scored 14 goals in France’s last 12 matches. At 23 years old, the young striker is scoring World Cup goals at a historic pace. After he scored ... Read more »

Yes, that's MN native Jenny Taft in a State Farm commercial

Jenny Taft got her broadcasting career started in Minneapolis in 2011. Aaron Rodgers, Patric Mahomes and Chris Paul are the usual celebrities in State Farm commercials, but the rising star ... Read more »

The Best Place To Live In Pennsylvania

bridge in Pittsburgh pennsylvania Making the decision to buy a home often revolves around picking a place to put down roots. Whether you plan to live there for a few ... Read more »

Brazil School Shooter Wore Swastika, Planned Attack, Police Say

Authorities say the teenager used his family's car to go from one school to the other, and had the license plate hidden by a cloth Read more »

Tampa Bay Area Region Final Roundup: Jesuit wins region crown, back in state semifinals

On the annual shopping crazed day known as Black Friday, Tampa Bay Area defenses wanted to make sure there was no evening shopping being done by offenses in region final ... Read more »

Warriors GM Bob Myers Reveals DeMarcus Cousins Called Him To Ask Why He Isn't In The NBA: "People Are Afraid..."

DeMarcus Cousins has a negative reputation in the NBA. Credit: Fadeaway World DeMarcus Cousins was one of the best centers in the game in his prime, being well-known for dominating ... Read more »

A Fleet Of 10: Air Peace Takes Another Two Airbus A320s

A Fleet Of 10: Air Peace Takes Another Two Airbus A320s Nigerian-based Air Peace has officially welcomed two new Airbus narrowbodies to its expanding fleet as part of its six-month ... Read more »

Lionel Messi: Fue un partido difícil ante México… estábamos obligados a ganar

(Hassan Ammar / Associated Press) Argentina derrotó a México el viernes y tomó un nuevo aire en sus aspiraciones para clasificar a la siguiente fase del Mundial de Qatar 2022. ... Read more »

Opinion: Leon Goretzka, Germany set a positive example in their stand against discrimination

Opinion: Leon Goretzka, Germany set a positive example in their stand against discrimination The sporting side of the 2022 FIFA Men’s World Cup is only one side of the story. ... Read more »

Kylian Mbappe blasts defending champion France into round of 16

France striker Kylian Mbappe celebrates after scoring both goals in a 2-1 win over Denmark. France advanced, and Kylian Mbappe got them there. The French became the first defending champions ... Read more »

Newsom Says He Won’t Challenge Biden in 2024, Politico Reports

(Bloomberg) — California Governor Gavin Newsom has made it clear to President Joe Biden he wouldn’t challenge him for the 2024 presidential nomination, Politico reported. Most Read from Bloomberg Newsom ... Read more »

Top Three Moments From Day 7 of 2022 World Cup

Lionel Messi, Kylian Mbappe and Robert Lewandowski provided the top World Cup moments on Saturday Read more »

México agoniza en Qatar gracias a su falta de gol y llegadas de calidad

LUSAIL, DOHA —  Con un buen juego defensivo en el primer tiempo pero mostrando carencias en el ataque nuevamente, la selección mexicana cayó el sábado por la noche en Lusail por ... Read more »

“Se queda”: Why Kimmich should stay in Germany’s midfield according to Javi Martinez

“Se queda”: Why Kimmich should stay in Germany’s midfield according to Javi Martinez Former Bayern Munich midfielder Javi Martinez backed his old compatriot as the right choice to hold the ... Read more »

Two drown after panga boat capsizes off coast of Imperial Beach in San Diego County

IMPERIAL BEACH, Calif. —  Two people drowned Saturday after a panga boat capsized off the coast of Imperial Beach in San Diego County, authorities said. The sinking vessel was reported about ... Read more »

Trump faulted for dinner with white nationalist, rapper Ye

FILE – Nick Fuentes, far-right activist, holds a rally at the Lansing Capitol, in Lansing, Mich., Nov. 11, 2020. Former President Donald Trump had dinner Tuesday, Nov. 22, 2022, at ... Read more »

Why Chip Foose’s Net Worth And Unique Car Collection Is Very Impressive

Why Chip Foose’s Net Worth And Unique Car Collection Is Very Impressive If you’re a true-blue gearhead, Chip Foose shouldn’t be a stranger to you. He’s been a renowned automobile ... Read more »

Fun Ways to Keep Kids Entertained on Thanksgiving Day (+ Free Printable Thanksgiving Placemats)

Get these free printable Thanksgiving placemats, with coloring activities and games to keep the kids engaged until it’s time to eat. This year has flown by quickly, and while it ... Read more »

Mexico loses Messi, Argentina game, and possibly FIFA World Cup knockout berth in a single moment

Mexico loses Messi, Argentina game, and possibly FIFA World Cup knockout berth in a single moment For a few perilous seconds, everyone in a green Mexico shirt lost track of ... Read more »
Breaking thailand news, thai news, thailand news Verified News Story Network