Federal election 2022: How 13,000 Aussies could decide the next PM

the latest tech news, global tech news daily, tech news today, startups, usa tech, asia tech, china tech, eu tech, global tech, in-depth electronics reviews, 24h tech news, 24h tech news, top mobile apps, tech news daily, gaming hardware, big tech news, useful technology tips, expert interviews, reporting on the business of technology, venture capital funding, programing language

Just a little more than 13,000 Australians have the potential to decide the next election.

With the nation due to head to the polls in less than four months, the major political parties are very aware that only a handful of seats could determine who is victorious.

the latest tech news, global tech news daily, tech news today, startups, usa tech, asia tech, china tech, eu tech, global tech, in-depth electronics reviews, 24h tech news, 24h tech news, top mobile apps, tech news daily, gaming hardware, big tech news, useful technology tips, expert interviews, reporting on the business of technology, venture capital funding, programing language

Labor will have to pick up just seven seats for Anthony Albanese to become the next Prime Minister.

Federal election 2022: How 13,000 Aussies could decide the next PM

Global Tech News Daily

Camera IconPrime Minister Scott Morrison can’t afford to lose any seats, or will have to make up any losses. NCA NewsWire / Andrew Henshaw Credit: News Corp Australia

And it’s a real possibility after the latest Newspoll, released this week, found that popular support for the Coalition has fallen to its lowest levels since the 2018 leadership spill.

Global Tech News Daily

The Coalition also hasn’t been helped by an electoral boundary redistribution – due to population changes – that’s created a new electorate in Melbourne expected to be a safe Labor seat, while abolishing a Liberal-held one in Western Australia.

Federal election 2022: How 13,000 Aussies could decide the next PM

Camera IconLabor would have to hold onto all their seats and gain a further seven for Anthony Albanese to become Prime Minister. NCA NewsWire / Damian Shaw Credit: News Corp Australia

It means the Coalition has 76 seats in the House of Representatives – the minimum needed to form majority government – and will have to hold onto that number or replace any losses.

When calculating how many votes Labor would need to pick up in order to gain seven of the most marginal Coalition-held seats on its radar, it amounts to as a little as 13,022 Aussies who could get them over the line.

Which seats will Labor target?

A major part of Labor’s strategy is focused on Queensland following a disastrous result in 2019 when it secured only six out of the state’s 30 seats.

“There’s four seats in Queensland that are definitely in play,” a source said.

Federal election 2022: How 13,000 Aussies could decide the next PM

Camera IconA Labor source singled out four seats in Queensland believed to be in play. Credit: News Corp Australia

They named Leichhardt, located in the state’s far north, which is currently held by long-time MP Warren Entsch, 71, on a margin of 4.1 per cent, as one of them.

“The general theory has been that you can’t beat Entsch,” the source said.

“But the fact that the last election wasn’t a good one in Queensland, we still held the line there.”

They said their candidate, Elida Faith, was more experienced now running for the second time.

Federal election 2022: How 13,000 Aussies could decide the next PM

Camera IconElida Faith is the candidate for Leichhardt. Stewart McLean Credit: News Corp Australia

Another seat Labor hopes it can turn is Flynn, located in central Queensland and spanning an area twice the size of Tasmania.

Liberal MP Ken O’Dowd, who holds the seat on an 8.7 per cent margin, is retiring and Labor’s candidate is popular Gladstone mayor Matt Burnett.

Federal election 2022: How 13,000 Aussies could decide the next PM

Camera IconLabor candidate for Flynn Matt Burnett is one of the ALP’s hopes. Credit: News Regional Media

“On paper you’d look at it and go Labor can’t win, the margin is too big, but those seats always become vulnerable when there’s a retirement,” the source said.

“It takes in a lot of territory, it’s a really hard seat in terms of it’s a 10-hour drive from one end to the other and Matt is really getting out and about in the area.”

The source also named Longman, which has a large retiree population – a demographic unimpressed with Labor’s franking credits policy at the last election – as another shot.

“We held it from 2016 to 2019, it was a classic seat we lost on the scare campaign against us,” the source said.

They said Liberal MP Terry Young hadn’t been “overly active” and their candidate, health policy expert Rebecca Fanning, was “turning up at everything she can”.

Federal election 2022: How 13,000 Aussies could decide the next PM

Camera IconRebecca Fanning is Labor’s candidate for Longman. NCA NewsWire / John Gass Credit: News Corp Australia

“We’ve picked a really good candidate who’s working hard, she lives locally and grew up over that side of town and has a really good policy brain,” they said.

The source also named the seat of Brisbane as a target due to the small ‘l’ liberal population.

“You think about the issues running at the moment, climate change, the integrity issues and also some of the issues around the treatment of women as well,” they said.

“All of those play out in a negative way for the government for a seat like Brisbane.”

Labor will also be targeting Chisholm in Melbourne – with Mr Albanese visiting the electorate on Monday, after being there nine days earlier.

“It was one we were hoping or expecting to win last time, we were disappointed, that’s probably the main chance down there,” the source said.

Meanwhile, in South Australia, Boothby is on their radar and in Tasmania they are looking at Bass and Braddon, which are both held by the Liberal MPs on slim margins.

In Western Australia Labor is hoping for Pearce – where former Attorney-General Christian Porter is retiring – and Swan where Steve Irons is also stepping down.

What seats are the Coalition going after?

The Coalition’s sights had been on NSW.

But they are facing a big problem – infighting is holding up the preselection of candidates in crucial areas.

“NSW is going to be the key state for us retaining government,” one source said.

“The sooner we have candidates the better, we need candidates in the field as soon as possible.”

They listed Eden-Monaro, Gilmore, Macquarie, Paterson, Dobell, Shortland and Parramatta as ones on their radar.

But three of those don’t have candidates yet.

Dobell is held by Labor on a margin of just 1.5 per cent – but without a Liberal alternative locked in hopes are fading it can be wrested back.

Macquarie – the most marginal seat in Australia – is one of their biggest hopes.

In the past two weeks, the Prime Minister and four cabinet ministers have all paid visits to candidate and local councillor Sarah Richards.

Another source named Dunkley and Corangamite as the two seats they’d be going on the offensive for in Victoria.

Federal election 2022: How 13,000 Aussies could decide the next PM

Camera IconPrime Minister Scott Morrison stood beside Macquarie candidate Sarah Richards this week. Credit: News Corp Australia, Gaye Gerard / NCA Newswire.

“Corangamite has a lower margin, but it’s probably demographically Dunkley which is more favourable, it’s a bit more aspirational,” the source said.

“It has a lot more up-and-coming tradies who really care about economic growth and job security.

“In Corangamite there are a lot of tree changers and sea changers who are more well off financially, so a lot of them have come from Labor seats and are inner-city professionals who are retiring or semi-retiring.”

But the source said that their candidate Stephanie Asher, who is the mayor of Geelong, had them feeling confident.

Federal election 2022: How 13,000 Aussies could decide the next PM

Camera IconGeelong Mayor and Liberal candidate for Corangamite Stephanie Asher is one of the Coalition’s key hopes. NCA NewsWire / Andrew Henshaw Credit: News Corp Australia

“She has a good high profile, she’s a very engaging person,” they said.

Meanwhile, they said Lyons was the seat they hoped to pick up in Tasmania, after losing last time when their candidate got caught out in a social media controversy.




Margin: 4.2 per cent

Labor believes this seat, held by 71-year-old Warren Entsch, is in play. Their candidate, former Centrelink staffer and union president, Elida Faith, is running for a second time.


Margin: 3.3 per cent

The LNP’s Terry Young ousted Labor’s sitting MP Susan Lamb from the seat at the last election. Now the ALP are looking to win it back with candidate Rebecca Fanning, a health policy expert who worked on the Queensland Covid response.


Margin: 8.7 per cent

Despite the big margin, Labor believes this seat is a chance because the LNP’s Ken O’Dowd is retiring. Their candidate is Gladstone mayor Matt Burnett, who’s been in local government for more than 20 years.


Margin: 4.9 per cent

One of two seats in Queensland which had a swing against the Coalition in 2019, the Brisbane electorate is on Labor’s radar. The LNP’s Trevor Evans holds the seat and is up against businesswoman Madonna Jarrett.



Margin: 0.4 per cent

Labor is hoping to win back this marginal seat with local lawyer Ross Hart, who was elected in 2016 before losing to the Liberal’s Bridget Archer at the last election.


Margin: 3.1 per cent

Deemed less likely than Bass, the seat is held by Liberal Gavin Pearce. The Labor candidate is local councillor Chris Lynch, who works with people with disabilities.



Margin: 1.4 per cent

Liberal MP Nicolle Flint is retiring and a friend of the woman who accused former Attorney-General Christian Porter of rape, Jo Dyer is running as an independent. Labor’s candidate is Louise Miller-Frost.



Margin: 0.5 per cent

Sitting member Gladys Liu only just scraped in at the last election. She’s up against Labor candidate and Victorian Trades Hall Council assistant secretary Carina Garland.



Margin: 3.2 per cent

Labor is putting up engineer Zaneta Mascarenhas in the must win seat. She’s up against Sky News commentator Kristy McSweeney who was endorsed unopposed as the Liberal candidate after incumbent Steve Irons decided to retire.


Margin: 5.2 per cent

Sitting MP and former Attorney-General Christian Porter is retiring and local mayor Tracey Roberts will run as the Labor candidate against the Liberal’s Linda Aitken.



Margin: 3.2 per cent

Labor says it will be campaigning hard for this electorate to try and get candidate Sally Sitou elected. She’s up against sitting MP Fiona Martin.




Margin: 2.6 per cent

High-profile former NSW Transport Minister and state Bega MP Andrew Constance will stand against Labor’s Fiona Phillips.


Margin: 0.2 per cent

Liberal candidate Sarah Richards ran in 2019 and lost to Labor’s Susan Templeman by less than 400 votes. The Prime Minister has visited her multiple times. And so have several senior ministers.


Margin: 5 per cent

Brooke Vitnell, a solicitor who specialises in family law, wills and estates, is the Liberal candidate. The seat is held by Labor’s Meryl Swanson.


Margin: 4.4 per cent

Nell McGill, a lawyer and founder of a charity which mentors young women, is the Liberal candidate. She’ll try to beat Labor MP Pat Conroy.


Margin: 3.5 per cent

This seat is held by Labor’s Julie Owens. It’s a key seat but there was still no candidate for the Liberal Party on Friday.


Margin: 1.5 per cent

Labor’s Emma McBridge holds this seat on the Central Coast by a slim margin. A Liberal candidate has not been chosen.


Margin: 0.8 per cent

Labor’s Kristy McBain claimed victory in the by-election in 2020. A Liberal candidate has not been chosen.



Margin: 1 per cent

Stephanie Asher, who is the mayor of Geelong and a best-selling author, is deemed to be a very strong candidate for the Liberal Party. The seat is held by Labor’s Libby Coker.


Liberal candidate

Margin: 2.7 per cent

Former Crown Prosecutor Sharn Coombes is the Liberal candidate who is said to be running a “very energetic campaign”.



Margin: 5.2 per cent

A source says the Liberal Party is “optimistic” about picking up Lyons from Labor. Local councillor Susie Bower is the candidate.

News Related


Gay men allegedly lured to Melbourne park via dating app and beaten

Three gay men have been assaulted at a Melbourne park after allegedly been catfished by a group of teenage boys on a dating app. The trio were allegedly lured to ... Read more »

‘We knew the truth': Cleo's parents reveal toll of internet trolls during 18-day kidnapping nightmare

Cleo Smith’s parents battled dark times during their daughter’s 18-day kidnapping nightmare, no more so when they were blamed for her disappearance. In a series of high-profile media interviews over ... Read more »

AFL: Carlton re-signs John Nicholls medallist Sam Walsh on long-term deal

Carlton has removed reigning club champion Sam Walsh from the out-of-contract market, extending the All-Australian midfielder for four more years. Walsh will serve as one of two vice-captains, along with ... Read more »

‘Garbage': Scott Morrison scraps major election promise

Scott Morrison has broken a major promise made three years ago, with plans for a federal anti-corruption watchdog sent to the scrap heap. Attorney-General Michaelia Cash on Monday confirmed the ... Read more »

Tyler Wright didn't win in Hawaii but made a big statement

Tyler Wright left Pipeline without the major trophy but adamant the historic event showed women “deserve to be out here”. The two-time world champion was bundled out of the Billabong ... Read more »

Ongoing industrial action set to cause commuter chaos across Sydney's rail network for at least two weeks

Sydney commuters are being warned of major delays as an already reduced public transport timetable is set to be hit by ongoing industrial action from Monday. Members of the Rail, ... Read more »

Government announces ABC's new billion dollar funding package

The Morrison government has announced a three-year $4.2 billion funding package for the ABC and SBS just months out from the federal election. Communications Minister Paul Fletcher made the announcement ... Read more »

Government's major announcements on RATs

Rapid Antigen Tests have emerged as a battleground issue heading into the federal election with the Morrison government promising to make them tax deductible. After coming under pressure from Labor ... Read more »

Triple bushfires rip through Western Australia

Firefighters battled through the night defending homes in what was a treacherous 24 hours for communities in Western Australia. The bushfires ripped through the south-western part of the state, damaging ... Read more »

Earthquake rattles residents in Far North Queensland

A minor earthquake has been recorded off the Far North Queensland coast with local residents reporting having felt the rumbling. The 3.9 magnitude quake was recorded about 60kms south-east of ... Read more »

Rapid Antigen Tests ‘vital' for people with disability

Thousands of people living with a disability are set to receive Rapid Antigen Tests (RATs) following public pressure and criticism over a lack of access for some of Australia’s most ... Read more »

National day to find forgiveness following deaths of four children

The family of four children killed in a horror drink driving crash have urged forgiveness as they remembered their lost loved ones in a moving ceremony. Antony, 13, Angelina, 12, ... Read more »

‘Couldn't care less': Scott Morrison responds to damaging leaked texts

Prime Minister Scott Morrison has broken his silence on the leaking of more damaging text messages. Deputy Prime Minister Barnaby Joyce was forced to issue an apology for a message ... Read more »

NSW Covid infections drop again to 7893, 28 deaths recorded

Daily coronavirus infections in NSW are at their lowest since the Christmas period, while hospitalisations and ICU admissions also continue to ease from the staggering Omicron peak in mid January. ... Read more »

Victoria records 7169 new Covid-19 cases and six deaths

Victoria has recorded 7169 new Covid-19 infections and six deaths after seeing its deadliest day on Saturday. The state has seen a steady decline in Covid infections in recent weeks, ... Read more »

Prime Minister Scott Morrison issues statement on Queen Elizabeth

Prime Minister Scott Morrison has issued a statement honouring Queen Elizabeth on her platinum jubilee, the 70 year anniversary of her accession to the throne. The Queen is the first ... Read more »

Would you do this job in exchange for $100?

Would you work a 64-hour week for the prospect of earning $100? That’s the reality of Alexi and Talipope, who came to Australia from Samoa to work under the government’s ... Read more »

Man charged after urinating on Hyde Park Anzac Memorial

A late-night toilet stop has resulted in a man being hit with a criminal charge after he allegedly urinated on the Anzac Memorial in Sydney’s CBD overnight. The 25-year-old Randwick ... Read more »

Farmers disappointed over Woolworths milk change

Australian farmers have reacted to a news Woolworths will phase out its 10-cent dairy levy, saying that more should be done to support dairy farmers. The levy will be scrapped ... Read more »

Footscray cemetery: man seen loitering at scene where human heads were taken

Police are hunting a man who was seen fleeing a Melbourne cemetery where two human heads were reportedly stolen from coffins this week. The bizarre crime – which occurred at ... Read more »

Parramatta Road pile-up: Two hospitalised after horror six-car crash

A man has been arrested and multiple people hospitalised after a six-car pile-up on a busy Sydney road that occurred shortly after a high-speed police chase was terminated. Parramatta Road ... Read more »

Barnaby Joyce: Deputy PM pulls out of ABC Insiders appearance amid texting furore

Beleaguered Deputy Prime Minister Barnaby Joyce has bailed on a scheduled TV interview after fessing up to sending text messages that were scathing of Prime Minister Scott Morrison. Mr Joyce ... Read more »

Queensland Covid: Case numbers rise, death toll climbs by record 21

Queensland has experienced its deadliest day of the pandemic so far after 21 people died with the virus – more deaths than were recorded in NSW. The latest fatalities in ... Read more »

Barnaby Joyce: Deputy Prime Minister says he offered to resign after embarrassing ScoMo text leak

Deputy Prime Minister Barnaby Joyce has revealed he offered to quit after an embarrassing text leak that revealed he called Prime Minister a “hypocrite and a liar”. Mr Joyce fronted ... Read more »

M80 Ring Road fire: Massive truck fire closes freeway in Melbourne

A truck carrying oil has burst into flames on a major freeway in Melbourne’s northwest, shutting down traffic. The B-double truck caught fire about 6.30am on Saturday, with commuters facing ... Read more »

Marion Barter: Inquest unravelling shock details surrounding schoolteacher, mum's disappearance 25yrs ago

It’s been 25 years since Marion Barter was last seen alive. As a teacher she’d been crowned with a prestigious Queensland Teaching Excellence Award for her work at The Southport ... Read more »

New Wanderers coach Mark Rudan ready for meeting with his former club Western United

Western Sydney Wanderers coach Mark Rudan feels “nothing” for Western United as he prepares to take on his former club on Saturday night. Rudan’s two-year tenure at United ended disastrously, ... Read more »

Former police officer charged with distributing child pornography

A former NSW Police officer has been charged with distributing child pornography. The 46-year-old man was arrested at Burwood Police Station on Friday morning. The man was a senior constable ... Read more »

Serial killer Regina Arthurell applies for bail after alleged sexual touching

A notorious convicted triple-killer accused of a series of a sex crimes has made an application for bail, but details about the court hearing cannot be reported after a magistrate ... Read more »

Demons premiership star Ben Brown thrilled to avoid surgery in second AFL pre-season at Melbourne

Second-year Demon Ben Brown doesn’t want to jinx himself but he’s enjoying one of the best pre-seasons of his life. The most notable feature of Brown’s summer is he avoided ... Read more »

Parliamentary committee blasts ASIC for ‘under-assessing' gravity of Sterling Group scam risks, acting too slow

The corporate watchdog has been lashed by a parliamentary committee over a rent-for-life scam that ripped off seniors and left some homeless, concluding it has “serious concerns” about how the ... Read more »

Google loses Fortnite stay case against Epic Games

The developers of hit game Fortnite have had a win against Google in court after the tech giant lost its bid to have a case against it thrown out. Epic ... Read more »

Prime Minister Scott Morrison washes apprentice's hair during Melbourne visit

Scott Morrison has washed a young woman’s hair during a whistlestop tour of Melbourne’s southeast as he tries to woo voters before the election. The Prime Minister carried out the ... Read more »

Top Iraq War commander explains deadly attack on ISIS leader

A top former commander of Australian forces in Iraq has called the death of ISIS leader Abu Ibrahim al-Hashimi al-Qurayshi a “really good achievement”. Former major general Jim Molan, who ... Read more »

Double murderer Luke David Fawcett sentenced to life behind bars with a lengthy minimum term

A double murderer who allegedly rehearsed one of his killings on camera while wearing a black latex suit has been handed a lengthy prison sentence. Luke David Fawcett, 29, stood ... Read more »

Cleaner who allegedly murdered 92yo didn't look deranged: court

A cleaner accused of murdering her elderly client did not look “deranged” just hours before the alleged violent incident inside the 92-year-old’s Sydney home, a court has been told. Hanny ... Read more »

‘You are in danger': Bushfire threatens lives and homes in WA tourist region

Lives and homes are under threat from an out-of-control bushfire in a tourist region of Western Australia. An emergency warning has been issued for people in an area bounded by ... Read more »

Concerns Stuart Highway subsurface ‘like jelly', no timeframe when it will be operational

There are concerns the subsurface of the frequently used highway that connects regional South Australia and the Northern Territory could be “like jelly” and leave commuters stranded if they drive ... Read more »

Scott Morrison ridiculed for pre-election ‘stunt'

Prime Minister Scott Morrison has copped a savage sledge for posing for a pre-election photo opportunity, before admitting one sector was in “crisis”. The Prime Minister visited the Labor-held Dunkley ... Read more »

Jilted ‘sugar baby' Jessie Qin labelled ‘outrageous' and faces contempt charge

A jilted ‘sugar baby’ ordered to pay her ex-lover $150,000 for calling him a “rampant sex scammer” online could be hauled back to court for contempt after allegedly calling him ... Read more »