El dólar revierte caída inicial, pero anota su segunda semana con pérdidas

El dólar en Chile despidió la jornada por sobre los $950 y anotando una tendencia de dos días consecutivos con ganancias. Sin embargo, en el el balance de las cinco jornadas, la divisa registró pérdidas y anotó dos semanas consecutivas con caídas.

Al cierre del día, el dólar subió un $1 respecto al cierre de ayer en la Bolsa Electrónica de Chile (Bec) y llegó a un valor de $951 la unidad. Así, el dólar anotó dos jornadas consecutivas con ganancias, donde suma $3,6.

el dólar revierte caída inicial, pero anota su segunda semana con pérdidas

El valor del dólar en Chile hoy 26 de abril del 2024

La divisa cuando registró pérdidas respecto al cierre de ayer marcó un mínimo de $942,60. Mientras que, por la parte alta, la divisa alcanzó un máximo de $953.

Sin embargo, en el balance de la semana, el dólar cayó $3,35 y anotó dos semanas consecutivas con pérdidas, donde bajó $21,5.

La moneda nacional gana terreno en el último tiempo gracias a un cobre que sube. Según explicó Reuters, el cobre, utilizado en la energía y la construcción, atraía la atención adicional de los inversionistas tras la propuesta de adquisición de BHP Group a Anglo American, que la minera cotizada en Londres rechazó el viernes, alegando que la oferta de US$ 39.000 millones infravalora sus perspectivas de futuro.

“La especulación sobre la escasez de oferta de cobre está impulsando los precios a nuevos máximos. Al mismo tiempo, los inversionistas se vuelven optimistas sobre la demanda del sector de las energías verdes. La oferta de BHP por Anglo American pone de relieve la inminente restricción de la oferta”, afirmó Ewa Manthey, analista de materias primas de ING.

A corto plazo, sin embargo, sigue preocupando la demanda del principal consumidor, China.

“Las primas de los cargamentos importados de están en mínimos históricos, las existencias son elevadas y el esperado repunte de la demanda aún no se ha materializado”, añadió Manthey.

De esta forma, el valor a tres meses del cobre subía un 0,45% a US$ 4,58 la libra en la principal bolsa de futuros. Mientras que, el valor al contado del cobre subió 0,8% a US$ 4,47, su mayor nivel en dos años. En la semana, el valor spot del metal subió 1,23%.

El dólar frente al yen y el mundo

En tanto, el dólar alcanzó el viernes un nuevo máximo de 34 años frente al yen, impulsado en parte por nuevos datos que no mostraron signos de relajación en la inflación estadounidense, en línea con las previsiones y confirmaron las expectativas de que la Reserva Federal retrasará el recorte de las tasas de interés más adelante en el año.

el dólar revierte caída inicial, pero anota su segunda semana con pérdidas

El valor del dólar en Chile hoy 26 de abril del 2024

El yen se desplomó a mínimos de más de 34 años frente al dólar después de que el Banco de Japón mantuvo sin cambios las tasas al finalizar su reunión de política monetaria de dos días, aunque apuntó a futuras subidas. Los actores del mercado están alerta ante una posible intervención por parte de las autoridades japonesas para apuntalar su moneda.

El dólar alcanzó frente al yen su nivel más alto desde junio de 1990, y ganó más tarde un 1,3%, a 157,71.

Mientras que, en Estados Unidos, la atención se centró en la inflación. El índice de precios de los gastos de consumo personal (PCE) subió un 0,3% en marzo, en línea con las previsiones. En los 12 meses transcurridos hasta marzo, la medida avanzó un 2,7%, frente a una previsión del 2,6%.

El índice de precios PCE es una de las medidas de inflación que sigue la Fed para alcanzar su objetivo del 2%. Son necesarias lecturas mensuales de inflación del 0,2% para que la inflación vuelva a situarse en el objetivo.

“Si bien el resultado del viernes no fue tan bueno como se rumoreaba, la cruda realidad es que las tendencias a corto plazo en el indicador de inflación favorito de la Fed se han dirigido constantemente hacia el norte desde principios de 2024″, escribió Douglas Porter, economista de BMO.

Ante este contexto, el índice del dólar subía un 0,43% a 106.05 puntos.

De cara al futuro, los inversionistas en divisas se mantienen centrados en la reunión del Comité Federal de Mercado Abierto (FOMC) de la próxima semana, en la que se espera que el banco central de Estados Unidos mantenga estables las tasas.

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