Covid will pose threat to UK for next five years, experts warn

Coronavirus could be a serious issue for years to come (AFP via Getty Images)

Covid will be a threat to the UK for at least the next five years, scientific advisers have warned the government.

A report prepared by the Scientific Pandemic Influenza Group on Modelling, Operational sub-group (Spi-M) panel revealed that it will take “at least a further five years for Covid-19 to settle to a predictable endemic state” – where the virus lingers in the background but does not threaten to cause widespread infection and rapidly overwhelm the NHS.

The report – produced before the omicron variant was found and released on Friday – added that it is “highly likely that continuation of active management of SARS-CoV-2 will be required for the long-term. How much vaccination and boosters, and what other interventions (testing, ventilation, isolation of cases, etc) are required over the next five to ten years will be driven by factors that are, as yet, unknown.”

On how long it will take before coronavirus settles to the more predictable endemic state, the Spi-M report says that government policy and the rate at which immunity falls will play large parts in the timeframe.

“Assuming no intervention other than vaccinations, if immunity to SARS-CoV-2 wanes quickly, endemicity will be reached faster, but this will also lead to higher prevalence levels once reached and thus a greater burden on health and care services,” the report says.

It adds: “Repeated vaccination may be required to maintain sufficient vaccine-derived immunity for future Covid-19 control. It is a realistic possibility that, over the next five years, there will be epidemics of sufficient size to overwhelm health and care services.”

The warning comes as 75 cases of the new omicron variant were identified in England with warnings of community spread now emerging, the UK Health and Security Agency said.

The government also released minutes of an emergency meeting of respiratory disease specialists who discussed the omicron variant last Thursday (25 November). Sage advisers cautioned that a “very stringent response” from Downing Street may be needed, while scientists in the New and Emerging Respiratory Virus Threats Advisory Group (Nervtag) said a spike in cases could overwhelm the NHS.

Nervtag, which is a sub-group of Sage, also said in the meeting that it could not rule out that a possible infection wave caused by omicron would be of a magnitude similar, or even large than previous waves.

In the eventuality of such an outcome, this surge in infections “will be accompanied by a wave of severe cases, and the subgroup cannot rule out that this may be sufficient to overwhelm NHS capacity,” Nervtag added.

The experts similarly called for “early and robust actions” to limit the spread of the variant in the UK. They did not specify measures, but reiterated the need for Britain’s vaccine programme to be accelerated. The PM said on Tuesday the government is aiming to have offered all adults a booster by the end of January.

News Related

OTHER NEWS

This Slovakian startup claims we will own flying cars within 2 years

Most electric vertical take-off and landing (EVTOL) aircraft owe their design to futuristic flying robots and insects. But there’s a more humble kind of flying innovation — the flying aircar. ... Read more »

Another 88,447 Covid cases recorded as infections continue to fall

© REUTERS Coronavirus posters in London A further 88,447 Covid cases have been recorded across the UK in the latest Government figures released on Monday. The data also reveals a ... Read more »

An 11-year-old with abdominal pain 3 months after getting COVID-19 still had the coronavirus in her gut

A slide from the girl’s biopsy reveals the coronavirus in her gut, seen here as brown shading.Dalia Arostegui et al./JPGN Reports/Insider Scientists found signs of the coronavirus in a girl's ... Read more »

Google Drive update will stop even the most gullible users falling victim to scams

Google is rolling out an update for its cloud storage service designed to shield even the least security-savvy users from malicious content. As explained in a blog post, Google Drive ... Read more »

Google is reportedly working on Chromecast with Google TV successor

Google launched its first Chromecast with Google TV in 2020. Two years later, Google is reportedly working on a new Chromecast with Google TV device, according to the documentation spotted ... Read more »

Partygate: Two Things That Everyone Is Pointing Out About Sue Gray's Report

Sue Gray is set to reveal the findings of her investigation into Partygate this week (Photo: Getty/PA) Sue Gray’s report into the parties which allegedly took place throughout the pandemic ... Read more »

12 things that will keep you warm outdoors this winter

— Recommendations are independently chosen by Reviewed’s editors. Purchases you make through our links may earn us a commission. Over the past few weeks, many parts of the country have ... Read more »

Maida Vale: Woman stabbed to death before knifeman run over and killed as driver ‘tries to save her'

Police have launched an investigation into the deaths of a woman and the man who reportedly killed her in west London. Officers were called at 9am on Monday 24 January ... Read more »

Met apologises to woman for ‘sexist, derogatory' language in strip-search

Force pays compensation to Dr Konstancja Duff for language used after CCTV captures officers’ comments The Metropolitan police has apologised and paid compensation to an academic for “sexist, derogatory and ... Read more »

ITV Revamps Pre-9pm Schedule: Extends Evening News, Moves Soaps Back-to-Back

U.K. broadcaster ITV is making key changes to its pre-9pm schedule, including extending the evening news and putting its two biggest soaps, “Coronation Street” and “Emmerdale,” back to back. Presented ... Read more »

Reliance Jio 5G coverage update: Trials in top 1000 cities and more

Reuters file photo Reliance Jio has completed 5G network coverage planning for top 1,000 cities in the country and is augmenting its fibre capacity as well as running pilot across ... Read more »

Google sued by Texas, Washington, DC, here's why

Texas and the District of Columbia sued Alphabet Inc’s Google on Monday over what he called deceptive location tracking practices that invade users’ privacy. Two other state attorneys general plan ... Read more »

22GB RAM, 640GB ROM: Specs of Lenovo Legion Y90 gaming phone may have leaked online

The full specifications of the Legion Y90 gaming phone could have appeared online, as per a report by GizmoChina, based upon the claims of reliable tipster @Pandaisbald who reportedly posted ... Read more »

Why #AmazonInsultsNationalFlag trended on Twitter

Amazon on Monday faced the ire of a section of Indian social media users over merchandising some products, including apparel and food items, that feature images of the Indian flag, ... Read more »

Coach Outlet Insiders get early access to The Diary Collection and 50% off chic styles

— Recommendations are independently chosen by Reviewed’s editors. Purchases you make through our links may earn us a commission. Give your personal style a boost of energy this season. From ... Read more »

IHQ, ASTORY, Studio Dragon concerned about struggling Netflix

By Kim Jae-heun IHQ, ASTORY, Studio Dragon and other media production firms here are increasingly worried about the sudden plunge of Netflix’s stock price last Friday which fell by 21.79 ... Read more »

Porsche's new infotainment system now features full Spotify integration

Porsche is rolling out a new sixth-generation infotainment system to many of its core models as its cars become more connected. The system, known as Porsche Communication Management (PCM) has ... Read more »

Why Apple has been fined 5 million euros by Dutch antitrust regulator

Apple was fined 5 million euros ($5.65 million) by the Dutch antitrust regulator on Monday for failing to comply with an order to open its app store to allow dating ... Read more »

The Apple Watch 7 crashes to record-low price in rare deal at Amazon

While finding deals on the Apple Watch 7 isn’t a rare occurrence, Amazon typically only discounts the smartwatch with a Red, Blue, or Green sport band. If you’ve been looking ... Read more »

Dell's latest RTX 3070 gaming laptop deals include a $930 off Alienware M15

If you’re on the hunt for mid to high-end gaming laptop deals, then this RTX 3070 equipped Alienware m15 R4 for $1,371.99 (was $2,299) is a great buy right now. ... Read more »

The best running gadgets: top fitness tech to help you run better

Running is one of the oldest and most instinctive forms of exercise around – just put one foot in front of the other, rinse and repeat in quick succession. Still, ... Read more »

Lucasfilm is prioritizing legacy franchises like Star Wars over new projects

It looks like Lucasfilm will continue to bet on its most famous properties now and in the future – even if that means brand-new projects fall by the wayside. According ... Read more »

Wheel of Time author dismayed George R. R. Martin worked on Elden Ring

A popular fantasy novelist and author of the final books in the Wheel of Time series has expressed his dismay that George R. R. Martin was asked to contribute to ... Read more »

What is 5G Ultra Wideband? How your phone's internet may soon change

5G doesn’t just have an availability problem (with much of the world still lacking coverage) it also has a branding problem – at least in the US, where there are ... Read more »

Fears of the Fed's Policy Changes Send Huge Losses in the Cryptocurrency Market

The volatile cryptocurrency market is taking a hit as the Fed is expected to hike interest rates in an effort to combat inflation. “Central banks and governments have played a role ... Read more »

AOC launches new G2-series gaming monitors, price starts Rs 21,990

Gaming monitor and IT accessories maker AOC has announced the new G2 gaming monitors – 24G2U/BK, 24G2E5 and G2490VX in India at Rs 28,990, Rs 22,990 and Rs 21,990 respectively.The ... Read more »

Meet LG Omnipod, the self-driving home on wheels

LG Electronics said on Monday that it will show off the real-life version of its futuristic self-driving vehicle next month.The LG Omnipod, a mobility concept solution that can serve as ... Read more »

Huawei Sound Joy review

Two-minute review A well known name in the smartphone, laptop, and tablet world, it can be easy to forget that Huawei also makes speakers and headphones. Previously, its Sound X ... Read more »

Man files FIR against Chinese online shopping website for selling fake products

Chinese e-commerce company Shopee, facing a controversy over FDI violations in the country, has been hit by an FIR filed by a customer in Lucknow for allegedly defrauding him.In the ... Read more »

Panasonic to invest $700 million to produce Tesla EV battery: Report

Japan’s Panasonic will begin producing its new lithium-ion battery for Tesla from as early as 2023, with plans to invest about 80 billion yen ($705 million) in production facilities in ... Read more »

Why Microsoft has disabled these commands in Excel

Microsoft has disabled a series of commands in Excel 4.0 to protect customers against security threats especially ransomeware.In July 2021, Microsoft has released a new Excel Trust Center setting option ... Read more »

The Earth's core is cooling surprisingly fast, scientists say – and it could tell us how our planet dies

(Getty Images) The Earth’s core is cooling more quickly than we realised, scientists have found – and the discovery could have important implications for the future of our planet. The ... Read more »

Bill.com review

Bill.com is a cloud-based operation that aims to help small and mid-sized businesses make better use of their time. It allows companies to create and pay bills, send invoices and ... Read more »

The best VPN services to protect your privacy in 2022

We may receive commission from purchases made via links on this page. Pricing and availability are subject to change. There are dozens of VPN services out there. Choose any of ... Read more »

Mars reflections that suggested there is water on surface of red planet may be just an illusion, scientists say

© Independent Breaking News Sparkling reflections on Mars that led to hopes of water on the planet might actually have just been an illusion, scientists have said. In 2018, researchers ... Read more »

Scientists are closely watching an Omicron subtype spreading in Denmark, the UK, Singapore and India

BA.2 is harder to detect on lab tests than BA.1.Leon Neal/Getty Images Scientists worldwide are closely tracking an Omicron subtype, called BA.2. In Denmark BA.2 is surpassing the BA.1 Omicron ... Read more »

Watch Dogs Legion's final update actually happened last year

Ubisoft has confirmed that no more updates will be coming to Watch Dogs Legion, the publisher’s third game in a trilogy of open-world hack-em-ups. The game’s current multiplayer season will ... Read more »

About us

We love tech! We’re unashamedly geeky about it. So we’ll tell you what we think in a fair, unbiased way. That’s what we’re about. We’re able to promise this because ... Read more »

White House to hold second Competition Council meet on Monday

The White House is set to hold the second meeting of its Competition Council on Monday, federal agencies said on Sunday. Officials from two federal agencies told Reuters about the ... Read more »

Alibaba's home province to offer preferential tax policies and promote ‘hard tech' such as chips and digital security

Zhejiang province, home to e-commerce giant Alibaba Group Holding, is putting into place preferential tax policies and will promote hard tech industries such as integrated circuits and digital security in ... Read more »
On free-english-test.com you will find lots of free English exam practice materials to help you improve your English skills: grammar, listening, reading, writing, ielts, toeic