Commanders vs. Cowboys predictions: Odds and picks for NFL Sunday

Our NFL betting expert offers the Washington Commanders at Dallas Cowboys predictions and best betting picks for the Sunday matchup at 1 p.m. ET on FOX.

Likely without quarterback Dak Prescott for another week because of a thumb injury, Cooper Rush has been a steady Plan B, guiding the Cowboys to a pair of victories. Rush isn’t flashy, although a late TD pass to CeeDee Lamb on Monday had some glitz.

The Commanders’ offensive line couldn’t protect QB Carson Wentz last week, allowing seven sacks. And the defense couldn’t stop the opposing QB as Jalen Hurts passed for 340 yards and three TDs. Wentz does have a history of success against the Cowboys.

Commanders vs Cowboys predictions

  • Cowboys to cover -3, -110 with BetMGM
  • Game under 41.5, -110 with BetMGM
  • Cooper Rush over 229.5 passing yards, -123 with BetMGM

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Commanders vs Cowboys picks and analysis

Waylaid by the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 3, the Washington Commanders attempt to regain their footing in a matchup with the Dallas Cowboys and backup quarterback Cooper Rush. If Carson Wentz has time to throw, he’s been a boon, but the Dallas defense has teeth thanks to Micah Parsons and Demarcus Lawrence off the edge.

Cowboys -3

The plan was simple for Rush when he took over as Cowboys QB in Week 1: Take care of the ball and give the team a chance to win until Prescott returns. It has been a complete success on all counts, as Dallas is 2-0 under Rush, and he has not committed a turnover.

Cooper Rush

Cooper Rush

Getty Images

No, the Cowboys are not as much of a scoring threat without Prescott but potentially can be even better in the passing game this week since wideout Michael Gallup is set to make his season debut after a knee injury.

The Commanders’ allowed six first-half sacks in a loss to the Eagles last week, although they did clean up things after halftime and looked at least slightly better on offense. Wentz has 14 career TD passes against Dallas, but that came when he was at Philadelphia.

Our pick: Cowboys -3, -110 with BetMGM

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Total under 41.5 points

The primary reason Rush has been able to stay within himself and play mistake-free football is because the Cowboys’ own defense hasn’t required him to push himself. Dallas has held opponents in check through three weeks, including the Bengals in Week 2.

The Cowboys’ 17.3 points allowed per game is eighth best in the NFL through three weeks, and they are fourth-best against the pass, giving up 176.3 yards per game. Ball control is the name of the game, with Dallas 11th in rushing yards (118.0).

The Commanders were scoring a tick under four touchdowns per game through the first two weeks but were exposed by the Eagles’ relentless pass rush last week. Wentz has been sacked 15 times, tied for most in the NFL with Cincinnati’s Joe Burrow.

Our pick: Game under 41.5, -110 with BetMGM

post action betting, sports, nfl, dallas cowboys, nfl betting, sports betting, sports picks, washington commanders, commanders vs. cowboys predictions: odds and picks for nfl sunday

Daron Payne

The Washington Post via Getty Im

Cooper Rush over 229.5 passing yards

Rush actually had more completions (21) on Monday against the Giants, while throwing for 215 yards, than he did in Week 2 against the Bengals when his 19 completions went for 235 yards. Now Rush returns home where he got Dallas past Cincinnati.

More success means more of a comfort zone for Rush, who is starting his third-consecutive game after starting just once in four previous seasons. And it could be his last week to show what he can do with Prescott possibly returning in Week 5.

If Rush can limit the turnovers again, the opportunities to move the ball will be there. The Commanders’ defense is one seven squads in the NFL giving up more than 400 yards per game. And Washington’s pass defense is fifth worst at 274.0 yards per game.

Our pick: Cooper Rush over 229.5 passing yards, -123 with BetMGM

Commanders vs Cowboys odds

Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook. Correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Team Spread Moneyline Total Points 41.5
Commanders +3, -110 +140 Over -110
Cowboys -3, -110 -165 Under -110
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