Brazil’s Bolsonaro defies polls as far-right outperforms in election

Jair Bolsonaro considerably outperformed expectations in Brazil’s presidential election, proving that the far-right wave he rode to the presidency remains a force and providing the world with yet another example of polls missing the mark.

amazon, brazil’s bolsonaro defies polls as far-right outperforms in election

The most-trusted opinion polls had indicated leftist former President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva was far out front, and potentially even clinching a first-round victory. One prominent pre-election poll gave da Silva a 14 percentage point lead. In the end, Bolsonaro surprised to the upside and came within just 5 points. He will face da Silva in a high-stakes Oct. 30 presidential runoff.

On Sunday, da Silva, known universally as Lula, obtained 48.4 per cent of valid votes, which excludes blank and null ballots, while Bolsonaro got 43.2 per cent, according to Brazil’s electoral authority. The first round’s nine other candidates received a fraction of the frontrunners’ support.

“This is a big defeat for the democratic center that saw its voters migrate to Bolsonaro in a polarized scenario,” said Arilton Freres, director of Curitiba-based Instituto Opinião. “Lula starts ahead, but it won’t be easy for him.”

The vote was virtually free from the political violence that many had feared. Alexandre de Moraes, the Supreme Court justice who also leads the electoral authority, congratulated Brazil for the “safe, calm, harmonious and peaceful” election that demonstrated its democratic maturity.

Yet tensions remain high, as are the stakes. The election will determine whether the country returns a leftist to the helm of the world’s fourth-largest democracy or keeps Bolsonaro in office for another term.

The past four years have been marked by his incendiary speech, testing of democratic institutions, widely criticized handling of the COVID-19 pandemic and the worst deforestation of the Amazon rainforest in 15 years. But he has built a devoted base by defending conservative values and presenting himself as protecting the nation from leftist policies that he says infringe on personal liberties and produce economic turmoil.

“I understand there is a desire from the population for change, but some changes can be for the worse,” Bolsonaro told reporters after the results were released. Bolsonaro, who has repeatedly claimed without evidence that the nation’s electronic voting machines are vulnerable to fraud, didn’t challenge the result.

Da Silva is credited with building an extensive social welfare program during his 2003-2010 tenure that helped lift tens of millions into the middle class and saw exports surge amid the global commodities boom. He is also remembered for his political party’s involvement in corruption scandals and his own convictions, which were later annulled by the Supreme Court that ruled the judge had been biased. That freed him from imprisonment and cleared the way for his presidential run.

Just ahead of the election, da Silva made a plea for support, saying a small number of votes could mean the difference between an outright victory and a runoff.

Bolsonaro outperformed in Brazil’s southeast region, which includes highly populous Sao Paulo, Rio de Janeiro and Minas Gerais states, according to Rafael Cortez, who oversees political risk at consultancy Tendencias Consultoria.

“The polls didn’t capture that growth,” he said. “It leaves a bitter taste for the left, if we consider what the polls were showing.”

Bolsonaro and allies have repeatedly cast doubt on the reliability of pollsters like Datafolha, and pointed instead to his street rallies with great turnouts. Supporters like retired engineer Ramon Almeida agreed.

“I don’t believe these polls by the Datafolha group. I believe the ‘Data-people’ poll I see everywhere Bolsonaro goes,” Almeida, 72, said Sunday after casting his vote at a school in Sao Paulo’s upmarket Pinheiros neighborhood. “I think there’s going to be a runoff in the end.”

Analysts noted that also-rans did worse than anticipated, and their voters appeared to jump ship on the election’s eve, decamping to Bolsonaro’s side.

“What is most likely is people changed their preferences strategically before the vote, and that really favored Bolsonaro,” said Nara Pavão, who teaches political science at the Federal University of Pernambuco. “People who were originally voting for Simone Tebet or Ciro Gomes (the third and fourth place finishers) decided at the last minute to vote for Bolsonaro.”

The difference between Bolsonaro and da Silva in the first round amounted to 6.1 million votes. Tebet and Gomes together earned 8.5 million votes, and more than 30 million people abstained.

Speaking after the results, da Silva betrayed the fact he didn’t even know for which date the runoff is scheduled. But he said he was excited for another few weeks of campaigning, and the opportunity to go face-to-face with Bolsonaro and “make comparisons between the Brazil he built with the Brazil we built during our administrations.”

“During this whole campaign, we were ahead in the opinion polls of all the institutes, even those that didn’t want us to win,” da Silva said. “I always thought that we were going to win these elections. And I tell you that we are going to win this election. This, for us, is just an extension.”

The right’s positive night extended to races for governorships and congressional seats, especially candidates with Bolsonaro’s blessing. His former infrastructure minister surprised by finishing first in the race to govern Sao Paulo. The governor of Rio de Janeiro, an ally, vanquished his opponent to win reelection outright.

Sergio Moro, the former judge who temporarily jailed da Silva and was Bolsonaro former justice minister, defied polls to win a Senate seat.

Bolsonaro’s Liberal Party will surpass da Silva’s Workers’ Party to become the biggest in the Senate. In the Lower House, Bolsonaro’s Liberal Party and the coalition led by da Silva’s Workers’ Party will be the chamber’s two largest forces.

Among its victors were Bolsonaro’s former ministers of regional development and science and technology. In the Lower House, his former health minister, a general who oversaw the pandemic’s troubled management, and his former environment minister, who resigned amid an investigation into whether he had aided the export of illegally cut timber in the Amazon, also secured seats.

News Related

OTHER NEWS

Ecuador impone el uso de tapabocas en espacios cerrados por casos de covid-19

La medida se tomó tras el aumento de enfermedades respiratorias, entre ellas, el covid-19. Ecuador impuso este miércoles nuevamente el uso obligatorio del tapabocas en lugares cerrados, tras el aumento ... Read more »

Ex-Bills Punter Araiza Won't Be Charged in Alleged Gang Rape

The San Diego District Attorney’s Office announced Wednesday that it would not be filing criminal charges against the San Diego State football players accused of gang-raping a 17-year-old girl last ... Read more »

Commentary: After six years away, Gustavo Dudamel returns to a changed Venezuela

“For me, I had that need to connect with my soul. I was floating.” Just back in Los Angeles, Gustavo Dudamel is sitting on the sofa in his office at ... Read more »

Virginia Football Players Granted Extra Year of Eligibility

The decision by the NCAA, confirmed by the school, comes weeks after three Virginia football players were killed in a shooting on campus Read more »

White Sox Land Pitcher Nick Avila From Giants in Rule 5 Draft

White Sox land Giants pitcher in Rule 5 Draft originally appeared on NBC Sports Chicago The White Sox selected San Francisco Giants pitcher Nick Avila with their Rule 5 Draft ... Read more »

Air Canada to cancel flights from Regina, Saskatoon to Calgary

Starting mid-January 2023, travellers will notice some turbulence in their travels. Air Canada is ending direct flights from Saskatchewan to and from Calgary starting next month. In a statement, Air ... Read more »

Foreign investors to face additional scrutiny under proposed changes to investment act

The federal government on Wednesday unveiled what officials bill as the biggest update to Canada’s foreign direct investment laws in a decade, with new rules requiring approval for investments in ... Read more »

New York monitoring hospital capacity and stockpiling ventilators as ‘tripledemic’ threat of COVID, flu and RSV hits

ALBANY — Gov. Hochul warned Wednesday that New Yorkers are facing a potential triple threat as rising COVID-19, flu and RSV cases ahead of the holidays strain hospital resources. In ... Read more »

Ihre Liebe kennt keine Grenzen, nicht mal eine geschlossene: Fotostory von David Tesinsky

Ihre Liebe kennt keine Grenzen, nicht mal eine geschlossene: Fotostory von David Tesinsky Noch immer sind die Grenzen geschlossen. Zwei Länder, getrennt durch einen Meter. Die Grenze zwischen den USA ... Read more »

Letters to the Editor — Dec. 8, 2022

Former President Donald Trump recently claimed the Constitution should be “terminated” following the “stolen” 2020 election. REUTERS The Issue: Donald Trump’s post that the 2020 election “allowed the termination” of ... Read more »

Layoffs: Companies copy others 'in almost mindless imitation,' professor says

Dr. Yalda Safai, a NYC-based psychiatrist, says panic, hysteria and anxiety are contagious Read more »

Georgia ends 2022 midterm cycle that challenged and confounded Washington: ANALYSIS

Georgia ends 2022 midterm cycle that challenged and confounded Washington: ANALYSIS The “red wave” wasn't, but other lessons look less clear. By the numbers recorded in the history books, the ... Read more »

James McAvoy Calls Out Showtime's Shamless For Copying One Of His Scenes From The Original

David M. Benett/Getty Images These days, James McAvoy is widely regarded as a legit A-lister in most Hollywood circles. He’s also considered by some to be one of the finest actors ... Read more »

Things Only Adults Notice In Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

Marvel Studios/YouTube Director Ryan Coogler was given the impossible task when working on “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever.” He had to continue the tale of the beloved hero Black Panther in ... Read more »

HBO Max y Prime Video logran importante acuerdo

Los cambios dentro de Warner Bros Discovery siguen dando de qué hablar y durante las últimas horas se dio a conocer un acuerdo que involucra a HBO Max y Prime ... Read more »

NASA's Orion Spacecraft Will Splash Down Off San Diego Coast This Weekend. Meet the Team Tasked With Recovering It

While Florida, Texas, and Pasadena, California, are often the epicenter of NASA’s space world here on Earth, San Diego will get its moment in the moonlight when the Orion spacecraft ... Read more »

Norman Pattiz, media entrepreneur who founded radio network Westwood One, dies at 79

Norman Pattiz, a media entrepreneur who created the Westwood One radio network that brought rock concerts and personalities such as Larry King and Casey Kasem to millions of listeners, has ... Read more »

Evelyn, oldest Los Angeles Zoo gorilla, dead at 46

Evelyn, the oldest gorilla living at the Los Angeles Zoo, has died, zoo officials announced Wednesday. The 46-year-old western lowland gorilla known for her fluff of red hair was euthanized ... Read more »

N.B. non-profit for children with dyslexia to lose space set to become shelter

The director of Children’s Dyslexic Learning Centre N.B. said she learned her organization would have to vacate the Moncton Lion’s Community Centre in a two-week timespan via media reports. The ... Read more »

Guelph, Waterloo area restaurants among OpenTable’s top 100 in Canada

Some area restaurants are on a list of the top 100 restaurants in Canada. The list is compiled by OpenTable, a network connecting 50,000 restaurants in more than 80 countries, ... Read more »

When is the full moon in December 2022? What Cold Moon in Gemini means, will Mars ‘disappear’ from UK skies

A truly magnificent astronomical event will be visible from earth this week – and you won’t even need a telescope. Many amateur astronomers will be looking forward to seeing occultation ... Read more »

Indigenous families ‘have a right to know’ where missing loved ones are buried, official says

A Mohawk official tasked with helping Indigenous communities investigate unmarked graves says the refusal by Winnipeg police to search for the remains of missing women believed to have been dumped ... Read more »

No ‘murder hornets’ found in Washington state for 1st year since 2019

Officials in the State of Washington say they’re making gains in the battle against an invasive species of hornets known to slaughter local bee populations. The Washington State Department of ... Read more »

Antisemitic hate crime suspect released without bail in NYC pellet gun attack: ‘How could that guy be in the streets?’ says boy’s mom

The Staten Island man charged with a hate crime for allegedly shooting a Jewish dad and his 7-year-old son with a pellet gun was released without bail Wednesday, leaving prosecutors ... Read more »

Jennifer Lawrence R-Rated Comedy ‘No Hard Feelings’ Shifts A Week Away From ‘The Flash’

Jennifer Lawrence Chris Chapman for Deadline In the wake of Warner Bros/DC’s The Flash going week earlier on June 16 and landing on the date of Jennifer Lawrence’s R-rated comedy ... Read more »

‘Avatar’ To Make Broadcast TV Debut Ahead Of ‘Way Of Water’ Release

20th Century Fox Avatar is coming to broadcast television in anticipation of the upcoming sequel, Avatar: The Way of Water. The 2009 film, which still holds the title of the ... Read more »

Georgia Runoff Ratings: Fox News Tops Primetime; MSNBC Wins Total Viewers, CNN Tops Demo During Hour Race Was Called For Raphael Warnock

Raphael Warnock (D-GA) celebrates his victory with family and friends at his election night party in Atlanta. (Photo by Nathan Posner/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images) Fox News topped viewership on ... Read more »

Trump team finds more classified material in Florida storage unit: report

Lawyers hired by former President Donald Trump found at least two documents marked as classified while searching a storage facility in West Palm Beach, Fla. late last month, and handed ... Read more »

Apple: Most iCloud data can now be end-to-end encrypted

Apple: Most iCloud data can now be end-to-end encrypted Apple has embarked on its latest privacy-enhancing move FILE – The Apple logo is illuminated at a store in the city ... Read more »

Prison system blunders led to Whitey Bulger’s killing, DOJ watchdog says

Inmates at a West Virginia prison were taking bets on how long mob boss James “Whitey” Bulger would survive after his transfer there, but key federal prison officials were oblivious ... Read more »

Ventura sailor returns home nearly 81 years after dying in Pearl Harbor attack

Nearly 81 years after the bombing of Pearl Harbor, the body of Navy ship fitter Claude Ralph Garcia returned home to Ventura County, bringing closure to a death that stunned ... Read more »

Jan Gaye, second wife of Motown legend Marvin Gaye, is dead at 66

Janis Hunter Gaye, the second wife of Motown legend Marvin Gaye and mother of two of his children, has died, her family said in a statement. She was 66. Jan ... Read more »

‘The Masked Singer’ was Kirstie Alley’s last TV gig. Here’s how it’s paying tribute

“The Masked Singer” will bid farewell to Kirstie Alley days after the “Cheers” actor died of colon cancer on Monday. The Times confirmed on Wednesday that the Emmy-winning singing competition ... Read more »

How to survive a renovation without destroying your relationship

Scroll through the discussion boards of the home and interior design website Houzz and you’ll uncover a piercing truth: Relationships and renovations clash like wall-to-wall carpeting and avocado kitchen tile. ... Read more »

AOC facing House ethics investigation after ‘Tax the Rich’ Met Gala freebie

The House Ethics Committee is investigating Democratic New York Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, the congressional panel confirmed Wednesday. The eight-member committee provided no details about the nature of the investigation, saying ... Read more »

Something From Tiffany's, la commedia romantica di Prime Video

Something From Tiffany’s, la commedia romantica di Prime Video L’amore percorre strade tutte sue e talvolta sono decisamente imprevedibili, soprattutto se animano la trama di una commedia romantica: è quanto ... Read more »

Simply Beverages hops on ‘perfect’ mimosa trend with new orange juice dropper

The juice brand's sweepstakes gives mimosa lovers a chance to win a 'perfectly simple cocktail' kit Read more »

Interior secretary: `Unacceptable' to mine near famed swamp

Interior secretary: `Unacceptable' to mine near famed swamp A member of President Joe Biden's Cabinet is urging Georgia officials to deny permits for a proposed mine near the edge of ... Read more »

Review: Lonely souls at the cinema in ‘Empire of Light’

Review: Lonely souls at the cinema in ‘Empire of Light’ Olivia Colman plays the manager of a movie theater in Sam Mendes’ new film “Empire of Light.” This image released ... Read more »

Would James Cameron Ever Let Another Director Into The Avatar Franchise?

Lia Toby/Getty Images Masterful filmmaker James Cameron is making his way back to theaters soon with the release of “Avatar: The Way of Water.” The long-awaited sequel looks to recapture the ... Read more »
Breaking thailand news, thai news, thailand news Verified News Story Network