Joe Biden Now Leads Donald Trump in Ten Polls

Joe Biden speaks during a trilateral meeting with Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida and Filipino President Ferdinand Marcos in the East Room of the White House on April 11, 2024 in Washington, DC. The president is enjoying success in a number of polls ahead of the presidential election.

With seven months to go until the presidential election, incumbent President Joe Biden is beating his Republican challenger Donald Trump in a series of recent polls.

The Democrat is leading Trump in ten separate polls conducted in the last month, although experts have cautioned that it is still too early to call the election and Trump is polling higher than Biden in other polls too.

Below, Newsweek has listed the polls in which Biden is leading Trump.

Newsweek contacted representatives for Trump and Biden by email to comment on this story.

1. Florida Atlantic University and Mainstreet

This poll found that 47 percent will vote for Biden come polling day while 45 percent expressed support for Trump. However, when all voters were included the two drew, both receiving 44 percent of the vote.

This poll was conducted between March 15 to March 17 with a sample of 1,053 adults. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percent.

2. RMG Research

In a poll of 1679 voters conducted between April 1 and April 4, 44 percent of high propensity voters said they would vote for Biden if an election were held today, while 43 percent said they would vote for Trump.

The margin of error for the poll is 2.4 percent.

3. Data for Progress

A survey of 1,200 likely voters conducted between March 27 and March 29 found that 47 percent would vote for Biden while 46 percent would vote for Trump.

The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

4. Ipsos

An April Ipsos poll for Reuters found that 41 percent of registered voters would vote for Biden compared to 37 percent who would vote for Trump. The survey has a 4 percentage point margin of error and e. Ipsos polled 833 registered voters between April 5 and 9 in this survey.

5. Quinnipiac University

A March 27 poll of 1,407 registered voters found that 48 percent of voters support Biden and 45 percent support Trump. The margin of error is +/- 2.6 percentage points.

6. Marquette Law School

Conducted between March 18 and March 2028, this poll of likely voters found that 45 percent would vote for Biden and 44 percent would vote for Trump. However, the poll of registered voters found that 44 percent would vote for Trump and 42 percent for Biden.

7. Marist College

A Marist College poll of 1,305 people for NPR found that Biden has the support of 50 percent of registered voters and Trump has the support of 48 percent. The poll was conducted between March 25 and March 28 and involved 1,199 people.

There was a margin of error of +/- 3.7 percentage points.

8. I&I/TIPP

A poll of 1,265 registered voters revealed that 43 percent support Biden and 40 percent support Trump. The April 3 to April 5 poll has a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percentage points.

9. Noble Predictive

According to a poll of 2510 registered voters, 44 percent would vote for Biden while 43 percent would vote for Trump.

The poll was conducted from March 11 to March 15 and the margin of error is +/- 2 percent.

10. Progress Action Fund

A poll released by the Democratic super PAC Progress Action Fund and conducted by Public Policy Polling showed Biden leading Trump 46 percent to 45 percent. The poll, which was first shared with the Hill, has a margin of error of +/- 3.4 percentage points. It was conducted between March 12 and March 13 and surveyed 837 registered voters.

Heath Brown, an associate professor of public policy at City University of New York, told Newsweek on Thursday that the race was “very close.”

“The polling over the last several months indicate this is a very close race. I wouldn’t read too much into any one or two polls at this point. The trend seems to be that the campaign will be a very tight one and I suspect the polls will reflect that until November.”

The election will take place on 5 November. Until then, polls and commentary will continue to drive speculation about the result of the election.

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